TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128382
Played Sep 14Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111121416113118
Grzegorz Marud
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
9111121416113118
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 93–101 Grzegorz Marud Krzysztof Schaniel has won 93 of their 194 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Marud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
93-101 in 194
Marud
Wrong
gap of 8 in 194, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1394 vs Marud 1487
Marud
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Marud 60%
Marud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 40% vs Marud 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -3 · Marud -1
Schaniel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 2.00 / Marud 1.71
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Marud)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13128382
Schaniel2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 177 of 422
Down 0–1, comes back28% 65 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back11% 14 of 124
Marud1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 123 of 225
Up 2–0, closes it86% 75 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it71% 100 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel5wins
AwayMarud5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel60%3 of 5
AwayMarud60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel5Marud5n = 10split evenly
S2Schaniel7Marud3n = 10Schaniel took 7 of 10
S3Schaniel5Marud5n = 10split evenly
S4Schaniel3Marud5n = 8Marud took 5 of 8
S5Schaniel2Marud2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielMarudS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.5+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime874 / 1754 vs 641 / 136149.8%47.1%874 / 1754 vs 641 / 1361Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudSchaniel 2.00/Marud 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 24:10K. Schaniel551311119113G. Marud50117131182
LAug 24 · 20:20K. Schaniel34881261G. Marud43111110113
WAug 24 · 24:20K. Schaniel4071111113G. Marud36117991
LAug 23 · 20:20K. Schaniel28119351G. Marud4291111113
LAug 4 · 22:35K. Schaniel539111011122G. Marud51119125143
WAug 4 · 15:00K. Schaniel331111113G. Marud215880
LJul 27 · 03:30K. Schaniel337111051G. Marud4211812113
WJul 26 · 21:30K. Schaniel45661111113G. Marud4211118392
WJul 21 · 04:40K. Schaniel341111123G. Marud2248100
LJul 20 · 22:40K. Schaniel49111181272G. Marud46191114113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110LSep 14 · 17:55K. Schaniel2.35118101172S. Szostok1.48411125113LSep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski1.901111123K. Schaniel1.7579100WSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 02:45R. Wiza2.459260K. Schaniel1.471111113LSep 13 · 01:30A. Szurgot4.2061114113K. Schaniel1.161161251LSep 12 · 23:55R. Szymik1.6591111113K. Schaniel2.02116981WSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza2.5011911352K. Schaniel1.46611611113WSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780LSep 12 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.25118115113K. Schaniel3.5571171142
G. Marud10
LSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach1.5721190G. Marud2.151113113WSep 14 · 04:40G. Marud1.711111133O. Vincenec2.0084110LSep 14 · 03:05M. Adamus1.80811811113G. Marud1.8511311692WSep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.457990G. Marud1.451111113WSep 14 · 01:30G. Marud1.471111113J. Nowak2.373940LSep 14 · 24:20G. Marud2.179137111O. Jadach1.56111111133LSep 13 · 22:40G. Marud1.78961191O. Vincenec1.9311118113WSep 13 · 21:05M. Adamus2.056650G. Marud1.681111113LSep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach1.601111113G. Marud2.105970
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