TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129008
Played Sep 14Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117711117––
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
119117711117––
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 26–17 Kacper Adamus Kacper Adamus has won 17 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-17 in 43
Schaniel
Correct
gap of 9 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1384 vs Adamus 1495
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 20% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 40% vs Adamus 70%
Adamus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -1 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 2.10 / Adamus 1.60
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Adamus)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13129008
Schaniel2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 177 of 422
Down 0–1, comes back28% 65 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back11% 14 of 124
Adamus1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 358 of 580
Up 2–0, closes it97% 194 of 200
Up 1–0, closes it79% 286 of 361
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel5wins
AwayAdamus5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel80%4 of 5
AwayAdamus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S2Schaniel5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Schaniel5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S4Schaniel4Adamus2n = 6Schaniel took 4 of 6
S5Schaniel1Adamus2n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielAdamusS − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.8+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime875 / 1754 vs 944 / 174349.9%54.2%875 / 1754 vs 944 / 1743Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusSchaniel 2.10/Adamus 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 18:45K. Schaniel50416811113K. Adamus49111411762
WJul 21 · 24:50K. Schaniel331111113K. Adamus197660
LJul 20 · 17:30K. Schaniel4881181292K. Adamus461131110113
WJul 14 · 03:30K. Schaniel351111133K. Adamus2669110
LJul 13 · 21:30K. Schaniel4711913592K. Adamus473111111113
LJun 24 · 16:20K. Schaniel236890K. Adamus331111113
LJun 24 · 06:45K. Schaniel35781461K. Adamus45111112113
WJun 17 · 12:20K. Schaniel3811511113K. Adamus35711891
WJun 17 · 08:20K. Schaniel4111118113K. Adamus33791161
LJun 16 · 12:20K. Schaniel2411580K. Adamus351311113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 16 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.73511119113K. Schaniel2.0011781152WSep 15 · 23:45P. Adamus1.6111121110102K. Schaniel2.20414912123WSep 15 · 22:55K. Schaniel2.7571112113J. Pruszkowski1.401151071WSep 15 · 21:45K. Schaniel1.8011811113G. Marud1.91311561LSep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel1.6111116672G. Jurowicz2.20751111113LSep 15 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.6111611113K. Schaniel2.20211961LSep 15 · 17:45G. Marud1.83111211113K. Schaniel1.83714691LSep 15 · 16:55K. Schaniel2.5011750J. Pruszkowski1.501311113LSep 15 · 15:50K. Schaniel2.2079111192P. Adamus1.61111176113LSep 15 · 04:20K. Schaniel2.35911931O. Jadach1.5411611113
K. Adamus10
WSep 15 · 05:05K. Adamus2.0011611113S. Szostok1.71711791LSep 15 · 03:30K. Adamus2.008480O. Jadach1.671111113WSep 15 · 01:50K. Adamus1.171111113I. Szymanski4.058870LSep 15 · 24:30K. Adamus1.8079100K. Schaniel1.851111123LSep 14 · 23:30K. Adamus1.70116871G. Marud1.9671111113WSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163LSep 14 · 20:45K. Adamus2.0011581182S. Szostok1.71911118113WSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113WSep 12 · 08:20R. Skotniczny1.839990K. Adamus1.811111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Schaniel
Nothing scheduled
K. Adamus
Sep 16 · 03:50K. Adamus1.67P. Przewlocki2.10—Sep 16 · 04:55K. Adamus1.67W. Urban2.10—Sep 16 · 05:40K. Adamus1.25I. Szymanski3.75—Sep 16 · 06:30K. Adamus1.83R. Gajda1.83—Sep 16 · 08:10K. Adamus2.00P. Gumulinski1.73—Sep 16 · 09:50K. Adamus1.25I. Szymanski3.75—Sep 16 · 11:00K. Adamus1.67W. Urban2.10—Sep 16 · 11:50K. Adamus1.67P. Przewlocki2.10—Sep 16 · 12:40K. Adamus1.83R. Gajda1.83—Sep 16 · 14:20K. Adamus2.00P. Gumulinski1.73—
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