TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130205
Played Sep 15Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118117––––
Igor Szymanski
Away
4.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
118118117––––
H2H Kacper Adamus 3–0 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Adamus beat Szymanski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (78%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Adamus
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1466 vs Szymanski 1158
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 308 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Szymanski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Szymanski 30%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Szymanski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.17 / Szymanski 4.05
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Adamus)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13130205
Adamus1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 358 of 580
Up 2–0, closes it97% 194 of 200
Up 1–0, closes it79% 286 of 361
Szymanski4.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 74 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 237
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwaySzymanski0wins
Adamus leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus2Szymanski1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
S2Adamus3Szymanski0n = 3Adamus took 3 of 3
S3Adamus3Szymanski0n = 3Adamus took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdamusSzymanskiA − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.320.3+17.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime944 / 1745 vs 89 / 38754.1%23%944 / 1745 vs 89 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.333.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.17/Szymanski 4.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.4%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 14 · 18:20K. Adamus331111113I. Szymanski126420
WAug 11 · 24:30K. Adamus331111113I. Szymanski158340
WAug 10 · 22:20K. Adamus46121111123I. Szymanski341473101
K. Adamus10
LSep 15 · 24:30K. Adamus1.8079100K. Schaniel1.851111123LSep 14 · 23:30K. Adamus1.70116871G. Marud1.9671111113LSep 14 · 22:20K. Schaniel2.1011117113K. Adamus1.60971171WSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163LSep 14 · 20:45K. Adamus2.0011581182S. Szostok1.71911118113WSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113WSep 12 · 08:20R. Skotniczny1.839990K. Adamus1.811111113WSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113LSep 12 · 05:35O. Sokolowski3.10961211113K. Adamus1.30111110972
I. Szymanski10
LSep 15 · 01:10I. Szymanski4.0112791152S. Szostok1.211011118113WSep 15 · 24:10I. Szymanski4.60613914113O. Jadach1.131111111272LSep 14 · 22:40I. Szymanski3.65211491G. Marud1.2111511113WSep 14 · 21:05K. Schaniel1.267550I. Szymanski3.251111113LSep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.151111113I. Szymanski4.407620WSep 14 · 19:30I. Szymanski4.551111710113S. Szostok1.1469111282LSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113LSep 14 · 02:45I. Szymanski4.708460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 14 · 01:10I. Szymanski2.303560G. Sawicki1.551111113WSep 14 · 24:00I. Szymanski1.801161211123R. Ogon1.90711149102
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