TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130213
Played Sep 15Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7119111012––––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
7119111012––––
H2H Kacper Adamus 18–27 Krzysztof Schaniel Kacper Adamus has won 18 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Schaniel beat Adamus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:36What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-27 in 45
Schaniel
Correct
gap of 9 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1466 vs Schaniel 1409
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Schaniel 60%
Schaniel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Schaniel 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Schaniel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.80 / Schaniel 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamus)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13130213
Adamus1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 358 of 580
Up 2–0, closes it97% 194 of 200
Up 1–0, closes it79% 286 of 361
Schaniel1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 177 of 422
Down 0–1, comes back28% 65 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back11% 14 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwaySchaniel5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus75%3 of 4
AwaySchaniel66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Schaniel6n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S2Adamus5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus3Schaniel4n = 7Schaniel took 4 of 7
S5Adamus2Schaniel1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusSchanielA − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.8−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime944 / 1745 vs 875 / 175454.1%49.9%944 / 1745 vs 875 / 1754Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.80/Schaniel 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 22:20K. Adamus34971171K. Schaniel4011117113
WAug 11 · 04:20K. Adamus44111111113K. Schaniel39139981
LAug 10 · 18:45K. Adamus49111411762K. Schaniel50416811113
LJul 21 · 24:50K. Adamus197660K. Schaniel331111113
WJul 20 · 17:30K. Adamus461131110113K. Schaniel4881181292
LJul 14 · 03:30K. Adamus2669110K. Schaniel351111133
WJul 13 · 21:30K. Adamus473111111113K. Schaniel4711913592
WJun 24 · 16:20K. Adamus331111113K. Schaniel236890
WJun 24 · 06:45K. Adamus45111112113K. Schaniel35781461
LJun 17 · 12:20K. Adamus35711891K. Schaniel3811511113
K. Adamus10
WSep 15 · 01:50K. Adamus1.171111113I. Szymanski4.058870LSep 14 · 23:30K. Adamus1.70116871G. Marud1.9671111113LSep 14 · 22:20K. Schaniel2.1011117113K. Adamus1.60971171WSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163LSep 14 · 20:45K. Adamus2.0011581182S. Szostok1.71911118113WSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113WSep 12 · 08:20R. Skotniczny1.839990K. Adamus1.811111113WSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113LSep 12 · 05:35O. Sokolowski3.10961211113K. Adamus1.30111110972
K. Schaniel10
LSep 15 · 01:30K. Schaniel1.9711128942G. Marud1.689101111113WSep 14 · 23:50K. Schaniel2.0911118113S. Szostok1.67681191WSep 14 · 22:20K. Schaniel2.1011117113K. Adamus1.60971171LSep 14 · 21:05K. Schaniel1.267550I. Szymanski3.251111113WSep 14 · 19:55K. Schaniel2.009111411113G. Marud1.7111216382LSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110LSep 14 · 17:55K. Schaniel2.35118101172S. Szostok1.48411125113LSep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski1.901111123K. Schaniel1.7579100WSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 02:45R. Wiza2.459260K. Schaniel1.471111113
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