TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125265
Played Sep 14Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11761112141191210
Rafal Ogon
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIgor Szymanski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
11761112141191210
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–1 Rafal Ogon Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1125 vs Ogon 1079
Szymanski
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Ogon 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 20% vs Ogon 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -2 · Ogon -3
Ogon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szymanski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogon form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 1.80 / Ogon 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szymanski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13125265
Szymanski1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 10 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Ogon1.90
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 40 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayOgon1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSzymanskiOgonS − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.031.5+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiOgonBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 378 vs 106 / 42522.8%24.9%86 / 378 vs 106 / 425Avg sets wonper match1.31.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.233.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiSzymanski 1.80/Ogon 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 22 · 02:45I. Szymanski341112113R. Ogon2481060
LJun 21 · 18:25I. Szymanski36811981R. Ogon3911611113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 14 · 02:45I. Szymanski4.708460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 14 · 01:10I. Szymanski2.303560G. Sawicki1.551111113LSep 13 · 22:25I. Szymanski3.3011190S. Krupa1.251113113LSep 13 · 21:10I. Szymanski2.107680R. Adach1.651111113WSep 13 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.306430I. Szymanski3.251111113LSep 13 · 07:35I. Szymanski3.856780K. Juszczyk1.191111113LSep 13 · 06:25P. Zemla1.141111113I. Szymanski4.507480LSep 13 · 05:10M. Adamus1.35128119113I. Szymanski2.90101191172LSep 13 · 03:35T. Lojtek—101112113I. Szymanski—1291071LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113
R. Ogon10
WSep 14 · 02:20R. Ogon2.2011716113R. Adach1.605111481LSep 14 · 24:45S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.404360LSep 13 · 23:10R. Ogon5.00113118102P. Polok1.12811911123LSep 13 · 22:00R. Ogon2.42812861G. Sawicki1.46111011113LSep 13 · 20:00R. Ogon3.756850K. Juszczyk1.221111113WSep 13 · 18:45R. Ogon3.20114812113S. Krupa1.27911111092LSep 13 · 17:35R. Ogon2.501161031R. Adach1.4691112113LSep 13 · 16:25G. Sawicki1.49111110123R. Ogon2.346812101LSep 13 · 15:35R. Ogon4.0091210P. Polok1.201114113LSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
R. Ogon
Nothing scheduled
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