TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125281
Played Sep 13Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
3.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1111113911––––
Sebastian Krupa
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
1111113911––––
H2H Igor Szymanski 0–5 Sebastian Krupa Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Krupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Krupa
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1133 vs Krupa 1339
Krupa
Correct
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Krupa 40%
Krupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 20% vs Krupa 40%
Krupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -1 · Krupa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Krupa) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 3.30 / Krupa 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Krupa)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125281
Szymanski3.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 73 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 164
Krupa1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 109 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSzymanski0wins
AwayKrupa5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKrupa leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKrupa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski0Krupa5n = 5Krupa took 5 of 5
S2Szymanski1Krupa4n = 5Krupa took 4 of 5
S3Szymanski3Krupa2n = 5Szymanski took 3 of 5
S4Szymanski0Krupa3n = 3Krupa took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricSzymanskiKrupaS − KBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match29.441.4−12.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiKrupaBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 377 vs 300 / 60222.8%49.8%86 / 377 vs 300 / 602Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaSzymanski 3.30/Krupa 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.9%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 18 · 16:00I. Szymanski259880S. Krupa331111113
LJun 30 · 14:20I. Szymanski35691371S. Krupa44111111113
LJun 30 · 08:10I. Szymanski3751311532S. Krupa531111911113
LJun 21 · 23:10I. Szymanski175390S. Krupa331111113
LJun 21 · 17:10I. Szymanski339121111S. Krupa4411148113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 13 · 21:10I. Szymanski2.107680R. Adach1.651111113WSep 13 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.306430I. Szymanski3.251111113LSep 13 · 07:35I. Szymanski3.856780K. Juszczyk1.191111113LSep 13 · 06:25P. Zemla1.141111113I. Szymanski4.507480LSep 13 · 05:10M. Adamus1.35128119113I. Szymanski2.90101191172LSep 13 · 03:35T. Lojtek—101112113I. Szymanski—1291071LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102
S. Krupa10
LSep 13 · 21:35S. Krupa2.50419211162P. Polok1.471117119183WSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa1.451111113R. Adach2.432250LSep 13 · 18:45R. Ogon3.20114812113S. Krupa1.27911111092WSep 13 · 18:00G. Sawicki2.50811631S. Krupa1.4211911113LSep 13 · 17:10S. Krupa2.505580P. Polok1.441111113LSep 13 · 16:00S. Krupa2.10911881K. Juszczyk1.6511711113LSep 12 · 01:45S. Krupa1.91781151K. Schaniel1.8011119113WSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151LSep 11 · 23:20S. Krupa2.208760L. Oracz1.611111113WSep 11 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7511118101S. Krupa1.4081311123
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