TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130199
Played Sep 15Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411811––––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:32 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
811411811––––
H2H Kacper Adamus 22–25 Oskar Jadach Kacper Adamus has won 22 of their 47 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Adamus beat Jadach 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (54%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-25 in 47
Jadach
Correct
gap of 3 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1453 vs Jadach 1505
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Jadach 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Jadach 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Jadach +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.00 / Jadach 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Jadach)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13130199
Adamus2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 99 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Jadach1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 320 of 472
Up 2–0, closes it94% 149 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it86% 223 of 260
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwayJadach4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus71.4%5 of 7
AwayJadach66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Jadach3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus6Jadach4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Adamus4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Adamus3Jadach4n = 7Jadach took 4 of 7
S5Adamus2Jadach1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusJadachA − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.8+4.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime945 / 1748 vs 802 / 132054.1%60.8%945 / 1748 vs 802 / 1320Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachAdamus 2.00/Jadach 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 21:30K. Adamus54111197163O. Jadach52791111142
WSep 10 · 14:45K. Adamus4291111113O. Jadach32117951
WSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus331111113O. Jadach248790
LSep 8 · 05:05K. Adamus52713111292O. Jadach511115410113
LSep 7 · 20:45K. Adamus34118961O. Jadach4071111113
WJun 17 · 15:30K. Adamus331111113O. Jadach166730
WJun 17 · 09:30K. Adamus541111108143O. Jadach50961211122
LMay 30 · 15:55K. Adamus37119981O. Jadach3851111113
LMay 30 · 09:55K. Adamus259790O. Jadach331111113
WMay 27 · 11:30K. Adamus45111111123O. Jadach323613101
K. Adamus10
WSep 15 · 01:50K. Adamus1.171111113I. Szymanski4.058870LSep 15 · 24:30K. Adamus1.8079100K. Schaniel1.851111123LSep 14 · 23:30K. Adamus1.70116871G. Marud1.9671111113LSep 14 · 22:20K. Schaniel2.1011117113K. Adamus1.60971171WSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163LSep 14 · 20:45K. Adamus2.0011581182S. Szostok1.71911118113WSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113WSep 12 · 08:20R. Skotniczny1.839990K. Adamus1.811111113WSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113
O. Jadach10
WSep 15 · 02:10O. Jadach1.801210311113S. Szostok1.80101211452WSep 15 · 24:50O. Jadach1.5712211113G. Marud2.161011701LSep 15 · 24:10I. Szymanski4.60613914113O. Jadach1.131111111272LSep 14 · 23:05O. Jadach1.81111211562S. Szostok1.83914611113LSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163WSep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.151111113I. Szymanski4.407620WSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110LSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach1.5721190G. Marud2.151113113WSep 14 · 04:20M. Adamus2.30711771O. Jadach1.5511711113WSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113
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