TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130210
Played Sep 15Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210211117110––
Grzegorz Marud
Away
2.16
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:36 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
1210211117110––
H2H Oskar Jadach 102–28 Grzegorz Marud Grzegorz Marud has won 28 of their 130 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Marud beat Jadach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
102-28 in 130
Jadach
Correct
gap of 74 in 130, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1499 vs Marud 1490
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 40% vs Marud 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 70% vs Marud 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -2 · Marud +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.57 / Marud 2.16
Signal prob.60% / 41%
Edge (Jadach)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13130210
Jadach1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 320 of 472
Up 2–0, closes it94% 149 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it86% 223 of 260
Marud2.16
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 122 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back22% 36 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach7wins
AwayMarud3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach100%6 of 6
AwayMarud75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach6Marud4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S2Jadach3Marud7n = 10Marud took 7 of 10
S3Jadach6Marud4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Jadach6Marud0n = 6Jadach took 6 of 6
S5Jadach2Marud1n = 3Jadach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachMarudJ − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.332.7+3.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1319 vs 644 / 136360.7%47.3%801 / 1319 vs 644 / 1363Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.57/Marud 2.16
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.5%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach2221190G. Marud351113113
WSep 14 · 24:20O. Jadach46111111133G. Marud409137111
WSep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach331111113G. Marud215970
WSep 8 · 01:50O. Jadach47811611113G. Marud3911711282
WSep 7 · 18:20O. Jadach3711411113G. Marud31811571
WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach46117611113G. Marud3351111422
WSep 6 · 18:20O. Jadach4011711113G. Marud25411731
WSep 2 · 24:35O. Jadach331111113G. Marud209740
LSep 1 · 18:30O. Jadach4075111162G. Marud50111198113
LFeb 17 · 03:20O. Jadach194870G. Marud331111113
O. Jadach10
WSep 15 · 02:10O. Jadach1.801210311113S. Szostok1.80101211452LSep 15 · 24:10I. Szymanski4.60613914113O. Jadach1.131111111272LSep 14 · 23:05O. Jadach1.81111211562S. Szostok1.83914611113LSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163WSep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.151111113I. Szymanski4.407620WSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110LSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach1.5721190G. Marud2.151113113WSep 14 · 04:20M. Adamus2.30711771O. Jadach1.5511711113WSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113WSep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.331111113J. Nowak2.857940
G. Marud10
WSep 15 · 01:30K. Schaniel1.9711128942G. Marud1.689101111113WSep 14 · 23:30K. Adamus1.70116871G. Marud1.9671111113WSep 14 · 22:40I. Szymanski3.65211491G. Marud1.2111511113LSep 14 · 21:55S. Szostok1.58511811113G. Marud2.1411811642LSep 14 · 19:55K. Schaniel2.009111411113G. Marud1.7111216382LSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach1.5721190G. Marud2.151113113WSep 14 · 04:40G. Marud1.711111133O. Vincenec2.0084110LSep 14 · 03:05M. Adamus1.80811811113G. Marud1.8511311692WSep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.457990G. Marud1.451111113
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