TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135722
Played Sep 16Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611411––––
Mariusz Koczyba
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
511611411––––
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 2–6 Mariusz Koczyba Oliwier Sokolowski has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Koczyba
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1378 vs Koczyba 1402
Koczyba
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 80% vs Koczyba 40%
Sokolowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 70% vs Koczyba 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +2 · Koczyba -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Koczyba) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koczyba form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 2.50 / Koczyba 1.47
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Koczyba)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13135722
Sokolowski2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 112 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back20% 36 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 107
Koczyba1.47
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 319 of 486
Up 2–0, closes it94% 165 of 175
Up 1–0, closes it81% 226 of 280
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSokolowski2wins
AwayKoczyba6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderKoczyba leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKoczyba100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski2Koczyba6n = 8Koczyba took 6 of 8
S2Sokolowski2Koczyba6n = 8Koczyba took 6 of 8
S3Sokolowski3Koczyba5n = 8Koczyba took 5 of 8
S4Sokolowski0Koczyba3n = 3Koczyba took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricSokolowskiKoczybaS − KBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match25.536.6−11.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiKoczybaBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 538 vs 856 / 131242.9%65.2%231 / 538 vs 856 / 1312Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaSokolowski 2.50/Koczyba 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.6%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 12 · 21:35O. Sokolowski23341151M. Koczyba4211119113
WAug 4 · 19:40O. Sokolowski44115116113M. Koczyba4261171172
LJun 28 · 05:35O. Sokolowski303125101M. Koczyba44111011123
LJun 27 · 05:35O. Sokolowski219750M. Koczyba331111113
WJun 9 · 15:35O. Sokolowski371115113M. Koczyba2981380
LMay 31 · 06:00O. Sokolowski2051320M. Koczyba371115113
LMar 28 · 05:50O. Sokolowski122820M. Koczyba331111113
LJan 17 · 09:20O. Sokolowski174940M. Koczyba331111113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 16 · 19:10O. Sokolowski1.9911812123S. Krupa1.6781110101LSep 16 · 18:00O. Sokolowski1.701379121A. Ruszkiewicz1.95111111143WSep 16 · 15:10O. Sokolowski1.59116812123J. Kaczmarek2.138111110102WSep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski1.901111123K. Schaniel1.7579100LSep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski2.0489100R. Wiza1.711111123WSep 13 · 02:20O. Sokolowski1.2511811123A. Szurgot3.455117101WSep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski2.2711911113R. Szymik1.52611751WSep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski1.5281117113G. Sawicki2.271141561WSep 12 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.5811514111O. Sokolowski2.1471116133LSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113
M. Koczyba10
WSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120WSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272LSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113WSep 16 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.7351111123G. Marud2.001188101WSep 16 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.73511119113K. Schaniel2.0011781152LSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113LSep 15 · 22:10P. Adamus1.671211113M. Koczyba2.1010890LSep 15 · 21:20M. Koczyba2.10561971J. Pruszkowski1.67111117113WSep 15 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.831111113P. Adamus1.836870WSep 15 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.6111611113K. Schaniel2.20211961
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