TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140984
Played Sep 16Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.99
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11881112101210––
Sebastian Krupa
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
11881112101210––
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 4–4 Sebastian Krupa Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (54%)
Krupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1344 vs Krupa 1358
Krupa
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 40% vs Krupa 60%
Krupa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 60% vs Krupa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -2 · Krupa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupa) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.99 / Krupa 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krupa)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13140984
Sokolowski1.99
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 112 of 301
Down 0–1, comes back20% 36 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 107
Krupa1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 114 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 84 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSokolowski4wins
AwayKrupa4wins
5 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski66.7%2 of 3
AwayKrupa60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski3Krupa5n = 8Krupa took 5 of 8
S2Sokolowski6Krupa2n = 8Sokolowski took 6 of 8
S3Sokolowski4Krupa4n = 8split evenly
S4Sokolowski2Krupa5n = 7Krupa took 5 of 7
S5Sokolowski3Krupa2n = 5Sokolowski took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSokolowskiKrupaS − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match41.942.4−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiKrupaBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 540 vs 305 / 60942.8%50.1%231 / 540 vs 305 / 609Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaSokolowski 1.99/Krupa 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 11 · 19:40O. Sokolowski5510121111113S. Krupa44121031362
WAug 23 · 23:10O. Sokolowski55519119113S. Krupa53111771172
WAug 23 · 17:10O. Sokolowski351113113S. Krupa2881190
LJun 30 · 11:50O. Sokolowski4251161192S. Krupa46116117113
LJun 30 · 03:50O. Sokolowski3951141182S. Krupa46115118113
LJun 8 · 02:20O. Sokolowski35118791S. Krupa3631111113
WJun 7 · 20:20O. Sokolowski42118111113S. Krupa4491191142
LMar 14 · 05:25O. Sokolowski321011561S. Krupa4212811113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 16 · 18:00O. Sokolowski1.701379121A. Ruszkiewicz1.95111111143LSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113WSep 16 · 15:10O. Sokolowski1.59116812123J. Kaczmarek2.138111110102WSep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski1.901111123K. Schaniel1.7579100LSep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski2.0489100R. Wiza1.711111123WSep 13 · 02:20O. Sokolowski1.2511811123A. Szurgot3.455117101WSep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski2.2711911113R. Szymik1.52611751WSep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski1.5281117113G. Sawicki2.271141561WSep 12 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.5811514111O. Sokolowski2.1471116133LSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113
S. Krupa10
LSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070WSep 16 · 18:25S. Krupa1.8311118113M. Adamus1.86741191LSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113LSep 16 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1611711113S. Krupa1.57911971WSep 14 · 02:00S. Krupa1.4511811113G. Sawicki2.42911761WSep 14 · 24:45S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.404360WSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa1.52116711113R. Adach2.3771111832WSep 13 · 22:25I. Szymanski3.3011190S. Krupa1.251113113LSep 13 · 21:35S. Krupa2.50419211162P. Polok1.471117119183WSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa1.451111113R. Adach2.432250
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