TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134978
Played Sep 16Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
2.16
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711119117––
Sebastian Krupa
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
119711119117––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 8–17 Sebastian Krupa Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 8 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Krupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-17 in 25
Krupa
Wrong
gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1358 vs Krupa 1368
Krupa
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Krupa 80%
Krupa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Krupa 60%
Krupa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +1 · Krupa +4
Krupa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Krupa) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 2.16 / Krupa 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Krupa)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13134978
Ruszkiewicz2.16
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 142 of 351
Down 0–1, comes back23% 42 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 104
Krupa1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 114 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 84 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz3wins
AwayKrupa7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz33.3%2 of 6
AwayKrupa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz6Krupa4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz5Krupa5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruszkiewicz3Krupa7n = 10Krupa took 7 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz2Krupa7n = 9Krupa took 7 of 9
S5Ruszkiewicz2Krupa3n = 5Krupa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczKrupaR − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.742.9−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczKrupaBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 862 vs 304 / 60636.9%50.2%318 / 862 vs 304 / 606Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaRuszkiewicz 2.16/Krupa 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.9%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 24:35A. Ruszkiewicz361191151S. Krupa4491113113
WSep 11 · 18:30A. Ruszkiewicz45111112113S. Krupa32761451
LSep 9 · 18:25A. Ruszkiewicz37911891S. Krupa4011711113
LSep 2 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz4311124882S. Krupa518101111113
WAug 26 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz481151110113S. Krupa4221181292
WJun 19 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz485111110113S. Krupa4211861252
LJun 19 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz381012881S. Krupa44121011113
LApr 7 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz3611551142S. Krupa50811119113
LFeb 25 · 18:10A. Ruszkiewicz258890S. Krupa331111113
LFeb 15 · 05:00A. Ruszkiewicz4111511952S. Krupa51911911113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 16 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.001112113M. Adamus1.7391080WSep 15 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1514914113R. Idaczyk1.6012111291LSep 15 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.479880M. Cesarz2.501111113WSep 15 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz1.7411811113J. Kaczmarek1.95811581LSep 15 · 04:25W. Urban1.581111113A. Ruszkiewicz2.136840WSep 15 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz1.8311114113J. Nowak1.83891161LSep 14 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.84810110J. Nowak1.801112133LSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113LSep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.457990G. Marud1.451111113WSep 14 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.751111113M. Adamus1.987890
S. Krupa10
LSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113WSep 14 · 02:00S. Krupa1.4511811113G. Sawicki2.42911761WSep 14 · 24:45S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.404360WSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa1.52116711113R. Adach2.3771111832WSep 13 · 22:25I. Szymanski3.3011190S. Krupa1.251113113LSep 13 · 21:35S. Krupa2.50419211162P. Polok1.471117119183WSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa1.451111113R. Adach2.432250LSep 13 · 18:45R. Ogon3.20114812113S. Krupa1.27911111092WSep 13 · 18:00G. Sawicki2.50811631S. Krupa1.4211911113LSep 13 · 17:10S. Krupa2.505580P. Polok1.441111113
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