TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129172
Played Sep 15Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119411116––
Jakub Nowak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Nowak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
118119411116––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 16–17 Jakub Nowak Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:11What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Nowak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1380 vs Nowak 1270
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 20% vs Nowak 40%
Nowak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Nowak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -3 · Nowak +2
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.83 / Nowak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13129172
Ruszkiewicz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Nowak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz8wins
AwayNowak2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz87.5%7 of 8
AwayNowakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz8Nowak2n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 8 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz6Nowak4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz5Nowak5n = 10split evenly
S4Ruszkiewicz6Nowak2n = 8Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 8
S5Ruszkiewicz3Nowak2n = 5Ruszkiewicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczNowakR − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.437.9+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 866 vs 672 / 173936.7%38.6%318 / 866 vs 672 / 1739Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.83/Nowak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz331111113J. Nowak205690
WAug 22 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz47117711113J. Nowak4381111672
WAug 21 · 18:20A. Ruszkiewicz341211113J. Nowak2610790
WAug 4 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz4211911113J. Nowak33811771
WJul 11 · 03:05A. Ruszkiewicz3911611113J. Nowak28711731
LJul 10 · 21:05A. Ruszkiewicz511114101062J. Nowak536121212113
WJul 7 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz4211119113J. Nowak38991191
WJul 4 · 01:30A. Ruszkiewicz44116511113J. Nowak4691111782
WJul 3 · 19:30A. Ruszkiewicz50911127113J. Nowak49119101182
LJun 20 · 03:55A. Ruszkiewicz521211101182J. Nowak43143123113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 15 · 04:25W. Urban1.581111113A. Ruszkiewicz2.136840LSep 14 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.84810110J. Nowak1.801112133LSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113LSep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.457990G. Marud1.451111113WSep 14 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.751111113M. Adamus1.987890LSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123LSep 13 · 22:20M. Adamus1.62911611123A. Ruszkiewicz2.07115115102LSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392
J. Nowak10
WSep 14 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.84810110J. Nowak1.801112133WSep 14 · 03:55J. Nowak2.1111113113O. Vincenec1.60791161LSep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.331111113J. Nowak2.857940LSep 14 · 01:30G. Marud1.471111113J. Nowak2.373940LSep 13 · 23:55M. Adamus1.8581111123J. Nowak1.801178101LSep 13 · 23:05O. Jadach1.33115911113J. Nowak2.8581111852WSep 13 · 21:55J. Nowak2.0011411153O. Vincenec1.707115131LSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690LSep 13 · 19:30G. Marud1.50119117113J. Nowak2.4061181162LSep 13 · 17:55M. Adamus1.659101113113J. Nowak2.10111241172
Upcoming Matches
A. Ruszkiewicz
J. Nowak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.