TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126283
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.84
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81110121113––––
Jakub Nowak
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
81110121113––––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 16–17 Jakub Nowak Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Ruszkiewicz beat Nowak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nowak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1400 vs Nowak 1248
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 20% vs Nowak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Nowak 20%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -2 · Nowak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.84 / Nowak 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13126283
Ruszkiewicz1.84
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 141 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back23% 42 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 103
Nowak1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 71 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it71% 48 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz8wins
AwayNowak2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz87.5%7 of 8
AwayNowakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz8Nowak2n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 8 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz6Nowak4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz5Nowak5n = 10split evenly
S4Ruszkiewicz6Nowak2n = 8Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 8
S5Ruszkiewicz3Nowak2n = 5Ruszkiewicz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczNowakR − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.437.9+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 865 vs 671 / 173936.8%38.6%318 / 865 vs 671 / 1739Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.84/Nowak 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz331111113J. Nowak205690
WAug 22 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz47117711113J. Nowak4381111672
WAug 21 · 18:20A. Ruszkiewicz341211113J. Nowak2610790
WAug 4 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz4211911113J. Nowak33811771
WJul 11 · 03:05A. Ruszkiewicz3911611113J. Nowak28711731
LJul 10 · 21:05A. Ruszkiewicz511114101062J. Nowak536121212113
WJul 7 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz4211119113J. Nowak38991191
WJul 4 · 01:30A. Ruszkiewicz44116511113J. Nowak4691111782
WJul 3 · 19:30A. Ruszkiewicz50911127113J. Nowak49119101182
LJun 20 · 03:55A. Ruszkiewicz521211101182J. Nowak43143123113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113LSep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.457990G. Marud1.451111113WSep 14 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.751111113M. Adamus1.987890LSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123LSep 13 · 22:20M. Adamus1.62911611123A. Ruszkiewicz2.07115115102LSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690WSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392WSep 13 · 18:20G. Marud1.7091111142A. Ruszkiewicz2.00117811113LSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113
J. Nowak10
WSep 14 · 03:55J. Nowak2.1111113113O. Vincenec1.60791161LSep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.331111113J. Nowak2.857940LSep 14 · 01:30G. Marud1.471111113J. Nowak2.373940LSep 13 · 23:55M. Adamus1.8581111123J. Nowak1.801178101LSep 13 · 23:05O. Jadach1.33115911113J. Nowak2.8581111852WSep 13 · 21:55J. Nowak2.0011411153O. Vincenec1.707115131LSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690LSep 13 · 19:30G. Marud1.50119117113J. Nowak2.4061181162LSep 13 · 17:55M. Adamus1.659101113113J. Nowak2.10111241172LSep 11 · 08:45Y. Fomin1.601111113J. Nowak2.155480
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