TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130455
Played Sep 15Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.74
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811115118––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kaczmarek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
118811115118––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 19–16 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:30What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1357 vs Kaczmarek 1321
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 20% vs Kaczmarek 60%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 30% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -1 · Kaczmarek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.74 / Kaczmarek 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13130455
Ruszkiewicz1.74
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 49 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Kaczmarek1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 158 of 485
Down 0–1, comes back18% 55 of 312
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz5wins
AwayKaczmarek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz62.5%5 of 8
AwayKaczmarekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz8Kaczmarek2n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 8 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz4Kaczmarek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczKaczmarekR − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.3+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 859 vs 477 / 130336.8%36.6%316 / 859 vs 477 / 1303Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.74/Kaczmarek 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz4011711113J. Kaczmarek29511761
LSep 1 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz409119111J. Kaczmarek4311811133
LAug 11 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz2714670J. Kaczmarek381611113
LAug 6 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz4411811862J. Kaczmarek46511811113
WAug 4 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz4111118113J. Kaczmarek33981151
LJul 28 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz35139761J. Kaczmarek44111111113
WJul 21 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz4011117113J. Kaczmarek28831161
WJul 7 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz331111113J. Kaczmarek249690
WJun 30 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz4413911113J. Kaczmarek381111971
LJun 23 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz34118871J. Kaczmarek4071111113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 15 · 04:25W. Urban1.581111113A. Ruszkiewicz2.136840WSep 15 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz1.8311114113J. Nowak1.83891161LSep 14 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.84810110J. Nowak1.801112133LSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113LSep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.457990G. Marud1.451111113WSep 14 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.751111113M. Adamus1.987890LSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123LSep 13 · 22:20M. Adamus1.62911611123A. Ruszkiewicz2.07115115102LSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.861111113J. Nowak1.835690
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 15 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.491113113J. Kaczmarek2.3431160WSep 15 · 03:10W. Urban1.60126491J. Kaczmarek2.10101111113WSep 14 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.631114113L. Oracz1.4471280LSep 14 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.386980P. Kurek1.531111113LSep 14 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek2.00911101342P. Przewlocki1.731191211113WSep 14 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek1.83811119123M. Sikon1.83116811102LSep 14 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek3.509111091K. Slawinski1.2811812113LSep 14 · 07:45M. Sikon1.9111912113J. Kaczmarek1.809111091WSep 14 · 06:55P. Kurek1.4491050J. Kaczmarek2.631112113LSep 14 · 06:05J. Kaczmarek3.0059110L. Oracz1.361111133
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