TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129349
Played Sep 15Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210611411911––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:41 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1210611411911––
H2H Wojciech Urban 18–15 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-15 in 33
Urban
Wrong
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1472 vs Kaczmarek 1303
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 60% vs Kaczmarek 40%
Urban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 50% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban +2 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.60 / Kaczmarek 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Urban)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13129349
Urban1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 163 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it76% 120 of 159
Kaczmarek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 159 of 483
Down 0–1, comes back18% 56 of 310
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban3wins
AwayKaczmarek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKaczmarek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban75%3 of 4
AwayKaczmarek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S2Urban4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Urban3Kaczmarek7n = 10Kaczmarek took 7 of 10
S4Urban3Kaczmarek4n = 7Kaczmarek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanKaczmarekU − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.938.7−3.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime755 / 1597 vs 476 / 130247.3%36.6%755 / 1597 vs 476 / 1302Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUrban 1.60/Kaczmarek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.6%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 03:10W. Urban31891131J. Kaczmarek3811115113
LAug 26 · 08:45W. Urban228770J. Kaczmarek331111113
WAug 12 · 06:45W. Urban351311113J. Kaczmarek2911990
LAug 6 · 06:25W. Urban2581070J. Kaczmarek341112113
LJul 30 · 07:10W. Urban39169681J. Kaczmarek47141111113
LJul 25 · 03:10W. Urban42511311122J. Kaczmarek53119118143
WJul 23 · 04:25W. Urban4111811113J. Kaczmarek29311961
WJul 20 · 05:05W. Urban521110911113J. Kaczmarek4051211392
LJul 15 · 01:25W. Urban358116101J. Kaczmarek4211811123
LJul 14 · 19:20W. Urban27811441J. Kaczmarek4211911113
W. Urban10
WSep 12 · 14:40W. Urban1.801112117113Z. Sobkow1.9161461182WSep 12 · 13:05W. Urban1.361111113P. Slosarczyk3.007670LSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123LSep 12 · 10:10W. Urban2.1071190K. Juszczyk1.671113113WSep 12 · 09:00W. Urban1.8011611113M. Paszkiewicz1.91511991WSep 10 · 14:40L. Oracz1.738990W. Urban2.001111113WSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63811811123K. Slawinski1.44117116102LSep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.731511113W. Urban2.0013960LSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.831111113W. Urban1.834970
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 14 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.631114113L. Oracz1.4471280LSep 14 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.386980P. Kurek1.531111113LSep 14 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek2.00911101342P. Przewlocki1.731191211113WSep 14 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek1.83811119123M. Sikon1.83116811102LSep 14 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek3.509111091K. Slawinski1.2811812113LSep 14 · 07:45M. Sikon1.9111912113J. Kaczmarek1.809111091WSep 14 · 06:55P. Kurek1.4491050J. Kaczmarek2.631112113LSep 14 · 06:05J. Kaczmarek3.0059110L. Oracz1.361111133LSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113WSep 14 · 03:50P. Przewlocki2.00107111182J. Kaczmarek1.73121168113
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