TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125565
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111181012911––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:15 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kaczmarek above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 75.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 0–14 Kacper Slawinski Jakub Kaczmarek has won 0 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:15What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-14 in 14
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 14 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1316 vs Slawinski 1470
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Slawinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 50% vs Slawinski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -1 · Slawinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 3.50 / Slawinski 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 78%
Edge (Slawinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125565
Kaczmarek3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog33% won 159 of 483
Down 0–1, comes back18% 56 of 310
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 175
Slawinski1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 107 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 78 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek0wins
AwaySlawinski10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek0%0 of 5
AwaySlawinski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek5Slawinski5n = 10split evenly
S2Kaczmarek1Slawinski9n = 10Slawinski took 9 of 10
S3Kaczmarek2Slawinski8n = 10Slawinski took 8 of 10
S4Kaczmarek1Slawinski7n = 8Slawinski took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekSlawinskiK − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.041.7−8.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 1300 vs 612 / 99136.6%61.8%476 / 1300 vs 612 / 991Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiKaczmarek 3.50/Slawinski 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek361171261K. Slawinski4591114113
LAug 5 · 12:40J. Kaczmarek4411691172K. Slawinski48711118113
LAug 5 · 06:30J. Kaczmarek34118871K. Slawinski4181111113
LSep 23 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek376129101K. Slawinski44111011123
LSep 23 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek2610790K. Slawinski341211113
LJun 18 · 12:20J. Kaczmarek35127791K. Slawinski43101111113
LJun 18 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek33135871K. Slawinski44111111113
LJun 17 · 17:05J. Kaczmarek226790K. Slawinski331111113
LJun 3 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek28571151K. Slawinski4211119113
LJun 3 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek35681291K. Slawinski43111110113
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 14 · 07:45M. Sikon1.9111912113J. Kaczmarek1.809111091WSep 14 · 06:55P. Kurek1.4491050J. Kaczmarek2.631112113LSep 14 · 06:05J. Kaczmarek3.0059110L. Oracz1.361111133LSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113WSep 14 · 03:50P. Przewlocki2.00107111182J. Kaczmarek1.73121168113WSep 10 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.923P. Slosarczyk1.731LSep 10 · 06:50J. Kaczmarek2.65681571P. Adamus1.38111113113WSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850
K. Slawinski10
LSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091WSep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10108100K. Slawinski1.671211123LSep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon2.631511113K. Slawinski1.4413990WSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113LSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek2.751011911113K. Slawinski1.4012711782WSep 13 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.271211113R. Wojcik3.2010880LSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123LSep 13 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.378111191P. Slosarczyk2.7011136113WSep 13 · 12:45F. Witczak2.2581181282K. Slawinski1.541191110113WSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591
Upcoming Matches
J. Kaczmarek
K. Slawinski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.