TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13124274
Played Sep 14Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012117911117118
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Kurek above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Pawel Kurek at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Kurek 0–3 Kacper Slawinski Pawel Kurek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:30What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1385 vs Slawinski 1503
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 60% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 50% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek -1 · Slawinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.75 / Slawinski 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Slawinski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13124274
Kurek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 117 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back22% 38 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Slawinski1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 101 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it98% 47 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it82% 73 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKurek0wins
AwaySlawinski3wins
Slawinski leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySlawinski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek0Slawinski3n = 3Slawinski took 3 of 3
S2Kurek0Slawinski3n = 3Slawinski took 3 of 3
S3Kurek1Slawinski2n = 3Slawinski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricKurekSlawinskiK − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match25.734.3−8.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 797 vs 610 / 98650.2%61.9%400 / 797 vs 610 / 986Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiKurek 2.75/Slawinski 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 10 · 10:35P. Kurek217590K. Slawinski331111113
LSep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek30861151K. Slawinski3611113113
LAug 12 · 10:10P. Kurek2671090K. Slawinski341112113
P. Kurek10
LSep 11 · 17:05R. Skotniczny1.601111113P. Kurek2.109970WSep 11 · 15:55P. Kurek2.2511115113G. Wichowski1.54851141WSep 11 · 14:45S. Szostok1.601011101182P. Kurek2.10124127113WSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113LSep 11 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski1.65111149113P. Kurek2.1095111192LSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670WSep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.05211119143G. Wichowski1.70118511122LSep 11 · 08:45R. Skotniczny1.6091111113P. Kurek2.10117891WSep 11 · 07:30P. Mecik2.1511361192P. Kurek1.60711118113LSep 11 · 05:55J. Pruszkowski1.55111015113P. Kurek2.308121361
K. Slawinski10
WSep 13 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.271211113R. Wojcik3.2010880LSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123LSep 13 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.378111191P. Slosarczyk2.7011136113WSep 13 · 12:45F. Witczak2.2581181282K. Slawinski1.541191110113WSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591WSep 13 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.63911811163F. Witczak2.15116118142WSep 13 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.651111113M. Oracz2.035880WSep 13 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2411119113P. Slosarczyk3.40941181LSep 13 · 06:45R. Wojcik3.20611411113K. Slawinski1.3011611662LSep 13 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.1911111281O. Sokolowski3.8513614113
Upcoming Matches
P. Kurek
Sep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek1.50M. Sikon2.50—Sep 14 · 05:40P. Kurek1.80P. Przewlocki1.91—Sep 14 · 06:55P. Kurek1.44J. Kaczmarek2.63—Sep 14 · 08:35P. Kurek2.38L. Oracz1.53—Sep 14 · 09:50P. Kurek1.80P. Przewlocki1.91—Sep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.75K. Slawinski1.40—Sep 14 · 12:15P. Kurek2.38L. Oracz1.53—Sep 14 · 13:05P. Kurek1.44J. Kaczmarek2.63—Sep 14 · 13:55P. Kurek1.50M. Sikon2.50—
K. Slawinski
Sep 14 · 04:30K. Slawinski1.28J. Kaczmarek3.50—Sep 14 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.44M. Sikon2.63—Sep 14 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.67L. Oracz2.10—Sep 14 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Sep 14 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.28J. Kaczmarek3.50—Sep 14 · 10:35K. Slawinski1.40P. Kurek2.75—Sep 14 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.44M. Sikon2.63—Sep 14 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.67L. Oracz2.10—Sep 14 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.