TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123429
Played Sep 13Finished
Kacper Slawinski
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71111810121012––
Michal Oracz
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:20 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
71111810121012––
H2H Kacper Slawinski 11–8 Michal Oracz Michal Oracz has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Slawinski beat Oracz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1511 vs Oracz 1406
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 80% vs Oracz 40%
Slawinski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 60% vs Oracz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski -1 · Oracz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.75 / Oracz 1.90
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Slawinski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13123429
Slawinski1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 101 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it98% 47 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it82% 73 of 89
Oracz1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 21 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski7wins
AwayOracz3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski100%7 of 7
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski7Oracz3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S2Slawinski7Oracz3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S3Slawinski7Oracz3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiOraczS − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.330.2+5.1per matchSweeps62+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime609 / 984 vs 327 / 53161.9%61.6%609 / 984 vs 327 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.75/Oracz 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 09:05K. Slawinski331111113M. Oracz215880
LSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski2410770M. Oracz341211113
WSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski371511113M. Oracz2613760
WAug 29 · 12:20K. Slawinski511111108113M. Oracz4377121162
WAug 29 · 11:05K. Slawinski331111113M. Oracz239590
LOct 22 · 08:45K. Slawinski2697100M. Oracz341111123
LOct 20 · 13:30K. Slawinski43111011111M. Oracz4713129133
WOct 20 · 07:30K. Slawinski331111113M. Oracz249870
WSep 17 · 14:45K. Slawinski331111113M. Oracz205870
WSep 17 · 11:05K. Slawinski401111183M. Oracz3086160
K. Slawinski10
LSep 13 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.378111191P. Slosarczyk2.7011136113WSep 13 · 12:45F. Witczak2.2581181282K. Slawinski1.541191110113WSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591WSep 13 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.63911811163F. Witczak2.15116118142WSep 13 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.651111113M. Oracz2.035880WSep 13 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2411119113P. Slosarczyk3.40941181LSep 13 · 06:45R. Wojcik3.20611411113K. Slawinski1.3011611662LSep 13 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.1911111281O. Sokolowski3.8513614113WSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon3.50711881K. Slawinski1.2811511113LSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63811811123K. Slawinski1.44117116102
M. Oracz10
WSep 13 · 14:20F. Witczak1.939111111112M. Oracz1.78111387133LSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz1.41911731R. Wojcik2.7011911113WSep 13 · 10:40M. Oracz1.801211113P. Slosarczyk1.9010370LSep 13 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.651111113M. Oracz2.035880WSep 13 · 08:20R. Wojcik2.3091040M. Oracz1.521112113WSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz1.351111113O. Sokolowski2.906580LSep 13 · 06:20M. Oracz1.909690F. Witczak1.801111113WSep 12 · 16:20M. Oracz1.821111123D. Morawiec1.9079100LSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113
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