TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122720
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210113117––––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:01 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
1210113117––––
H2H Michal Oracz 4–2 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Oracz
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1416 vs Slosarczyk 1290
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 60% vs Slosarczyk 40%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 40% vs Slosarczyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -1 · Slosarczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.80 / Slosarczyk 1.90
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Oracz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13122720
Oracz1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 111 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it78% 90 of 115
Slosarczyk1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog31% won 100 of 323
Down 0–1, comes back13% 25 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOracz4wins
AwaySlosarczyk2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderOracz leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz80%4 of 5
AwaySlosarczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Slosarczyk1n = 6Oracz took 5 of 6
S2Oracz1Slosarczyk5n = 6Slosarczyk took 5 of 6
S3Oracz4Slosarczyk2n = 6Oracz took 4 of 6
S4Oracz3Slosarczyk2n = 5Oracz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricOraczSlosarczykO − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match39.736.5+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 527 vs 327 / 84861.7%38.6%325 / 527 vs 327 / 848Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.80/Slosarczyk 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 15 · 14:45M. Oracz351112123P. Slosarczyk25510100
WAug 15 · 11:05M. Oracz52129812113P. Slosarczyk511011111092
WJul 9 · 15:30M. Oracz4411911133P. Slosarczyk338113111
LJul 9 · 09:30M. Oracz331166101P. Slosarczyk3951111123
LJul 1 · 17:05M. Oracz32881151P. Slosarczyk4111118113
WJul 1 · 08:45M. Oracz4211911113P. Slosarczyk30611851
M. Oracz10
LSep 13 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.651111113M. Oracz2.035880WSep 13 · 08:20R. Wojcik2.3091040M. Oracz1.521112113WSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz1.351111113O. Sokolowski2.906580LSep 13 · 06:20M. Oracz1.909690F. Witczak1.801111113WSep 12 · 16:20M. Oracz1.821111123D. Morawiec1.9079100LSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113LSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113LSep 12 · 12:45M. Lach1.8311115113M. Oracz1.81991161LSep 12 · 11:55M. Oracz1.808240W. Wojtaszczyk1.901111113WSep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.861111153M. Lach1.8073130
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 13 · 11:30F. Witczak1.381516113P. Slosarczyk2.65131450LSep 13 · 09:55O. Sokolowski2.051113183P. Slosarczyk1.68911160LSep 13 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2411119113P. Slosarczyk3.40941181WSep 13 · 07:10F. Witczak1.381112811112P. Slosarczyk2.65714117133WSep 13 · 05:30R. Wojcik1.8011107201P. Slosarczyk1.9081211223LSep 12 · 13:55K. Juszczyk1.4411115113P. Slosarczyk2.63891191LSep 12 · 13:05W. Urban1.361111113P. Slosarczyk3.007670WSep 12 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.0081111113Z. Sobkow1.73117391LSep 12 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk2.251114691M. Paszkiewicz1.57131211113LSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890
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