TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122715
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Witczak
Home
1.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
15131614115––––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:01 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Witczak to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
15131614115––––
H2H Filip Witczak 6–3 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Slosarczyk beat Witczak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Witczak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Witczak
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witczak 1403 vs Slosarczyk 1300
Witczak
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witczak 40% vs Slosarczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witczak 40% vs Slosarczyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witczak -2 · Slosarczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Witczak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witczak form (40%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitczak 1.38 / Slosarczyk 2.65
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Witczak)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13122715
Witczak1.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 64 of 86
Slosarczyk2.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog31% won 100 of 323
Down 0–1, comes back13% 25 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWitczak6wins
AwaySlosarczyk3wins
1 of 9 to a deciderWitczak leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitczak83.3%5 of 6
AwaySlosarczyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witczak6Slosarczyk3n = 9Witczak took 6 of 9
S2Witczak4Slosarczyk5n = 9Slosarczyk took 5 of 9
S3Witczak7Slosarczyk2n = 9Witczak took 7 of 9
S4Witczak4Slosarczyk1n = 5Witczak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricWitczakSlosarczykW − SBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match37.032.8+4.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitczakSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 485 vs 327 / 84755.7%38.6%270 / 485 vs 327 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitczakWitczak 1.38/Slosarczyk 2.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Witczak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Witczak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 13 · 07:10F. Witczak531112811112P. Slosarczyk52714117133
WAug 15 · 17:05F. Witczak351311113P. Slosarczyk2311570
LAug 15 · 08:45F. Witczak2156100P. Slosarczyk341111123
LNov 1 · 12:55F. Witczak35891171P. Slosarczyk4211119113
WNov 1 · 06:55F. Witczak4013511113P. Slosarczyk371111691
WJul 6 · 13:55F. Witczak331111113P. Slosarczyk227870
WJul 6 · 07:55F. Witczak4181111113P. Slosarczyk29113871
WJul 5 · 13:55F. Witczak4211811123P. Slosarczyk379117101
WJul 5 · 07:55F. Witczak331111113P. Slosarczyk194780
F. Witczak10
LSep 13 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.63911811163F. Witczak2.15116118142LSep 13 · 09:30R. Wojcik2.1011913113F. Witczak1.679111171WSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.709980LSep 13 · 07:10F. Witczak1.381112811112P. Slosarczyk2.65714117133WSep 13 · 06:20M. Oracz1.909690F. Witczak1.801111113WSep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.836540F. Witczak1.861111113LSep 12 · 15:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.71121911113F. Witczak2.001417971WSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113LSep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec1.8511116123F. Witczak1.856911101LSep 12 · 11:30M. Lach1.831111113F. Witczak1.836970
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 13 · 09:55O. Sokolowski2.051113183P. Slosarczyk1.68911160LSep 13 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2411119113P. Slosarczyk3.40941181WSep 13 · 07:10F. Witczak1.381112811112P. Slosarczyk2.65714117133WSep 13 · 05:30R. Wojcik1.8011107201P. Slosarczyk1.9081211223LSep 12 · 13:55K. Juszczyk1.4411115113P. Slosarczyk2.63891191LSep 12 · 13:05W. Urban1.361111113P. Slosarczyk3.007670WSep 12 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.0081111113Z. Sobkow1.73117391LSep 12 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk2.251114691M. Paszkiewicz1.57131211113LSep 12 · 09:50A. Cichocki1.131311113P. Slosarczyk5.5011890LSep 12 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.3841191562Z. Sobkow1.531151113113
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