TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119125
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.82
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171191210––––
Daniel Morawiec
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Morawiec to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1171191210––––
H2H Michal Oracz 24–29 Daniel Morawiec Michal Oracz has won 24 of their 53 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Morawiec beat Oracz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:25What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-29 in 53
Morawiec
Wrong
gap of 5 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1408 vs Morawiec 1384
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 20% vs Morawiec 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 40% vs Morawiec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -4 · Morawiec -2
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.82 / Morawiec 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oracz)+2.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13119125
Oracz1.82
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Morawiec1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz6wins
AwayMorawiec4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz75%3 of 4
AwayMorawiec50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz4Morawiec6n = 10Morawiec took 6 of 10
S2Oracz7Morawiec3n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Oracz5Morawiec5n = 10split evenly
S4Oracz4Morawiec3n = 7Oracz took 4 of 7
S5Oracz2Morawiec1n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczMorawiecO − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.339.4+1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 522 vs 266 / 47761.7%55.8%322 / 522 vs 266 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.82/Morawiec 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:45M. Oracz37912791D. Morawiec43111011113
LAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz154560D. Morawiec331111113
WAug 29 · 08:20M. Oracz4481311123D. Morawiec3811116101
WAug 15 · 12:20M. Oracz341111123D. Morawiec2798100
WAug 15 · 08:20M. Oracz639121120113D. Morawiec57111072272
WJun 6 · 12:20M. Oracz528111111113D. Morawiec4011713452
LJun 6 · 08:20M. Oracz46127611102D. Morawiec531011119123
LMay 9 · 15:05M. Oracz399119101D. Morawiec4211811123
WMay 9 · 09:05M. Oracz431121113D. Morawiec3371970
WApr 25 · 12:45M. Oracz4011711113D. Morawiec28511571
M. Oracz10
LSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113LSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113LSep 12 · 12:45M. Lach1.8311115113M. Oracz1.81991161LSep 12 · 11:55M. Oracz1.808240W. Wojtaszczyk1.901111113WSep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.861111153M. Lach1.8073130WSep 12 · 09:05M. Oracz1.8011112123J. Wieczerzak1.909511101WSep 12 · 07:55M. Oracz1.731113163F. Witczak1.92711140LSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791LSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113
D. Morawiec10
LSep 12 · 15:30M. Lach1.7012619113D. Morawiec1.9610111791LSep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec1.8011811692W. Wojtaszczyk1.85911711113WSep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec1.8511116123F. Witczak1.856911101LSep 12 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.801111611113D. Morawiec1.8652111382LSep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.05117581W. Wojtaszczyk1.6871111113LSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Oracz
D. Morawiec
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.