TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119133
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Morawiec
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811117611911
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Morawiec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
119811117611911
H2H Daniel Morawiec 0–1 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Daniel Morawiec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Wojtaszczyk beat Morawiec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:25What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Morawiec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Morawiec 1403 vs Wojtaszczyk 1452
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Morawiec 20% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Morawiec 50% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Morawiec +1 · Wojtaszczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Morawiec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMorawiec 1.80 / Wojtaszczyk 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Morawiec)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13119133
Morawiec1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 99 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it76% 66 of 87
Wojtaszczyk1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 48 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMorawiec0wins
AwayWojtaszczyk1wins
Wojtaszczyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMorawiecWojtaszczykM − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match31.040.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorawiecWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 475 vs 542 / 80956%67%266 / 475 vs 542 / 809Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MorawiecMorawiec 1.80/Wojtaszczyk 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Morawiec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec31117581W. Wojtaszczyk4071111113
D. Morawiec10
LSep 12 · 16:20M. Oracz1.821111123D. Morawiec1.9079100LSep 12 · 15:30M. Lach1.7012619113D. Morawiec1.9610111791WSep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec1.8511116123F. Witczak1.856911101LSep 12 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.801111611113D. Morawiec1.8652111382LSep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.05117581W. Wojtaszczyk1.6871111113LSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 12 · 15:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.71121911113F. Witczak2.001417971LSep 12 · 13:30J. Wieczerzak1.9512117113W. Wojtaszczyk1.771041181WSep 12 · 11:55M. Oracz1.808240W. Wojtaszczyk1.901111113WSep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.05117581W. Wojtaszczyk1.6871111113LSep 12 · 09:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.77119741F. Witczak1.9591111113WSep 12 · 08:45M. Lach1.908911111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133WSep 12 · 07:30J. Wieczerzak1.9971050W. Wojtaszczyk1.681112113WSep 12 · 05:55M. Oracz1.90512531W. Wojtaszczyk1.76111011113LSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142WSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Morawiec
Nothing scheduled
W. Wojtaszczyk
Sep 12 · 17:05W. Wojtaszczyk1.80M. Lach1.90—Sep 13 · 03:25W. Wojtaszczyk2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Sep 13 · 04:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.80M. Lach1.91—Sep 13 · 06:05W. Wojtaszczyk1.83S. Szostok1.83—Sep 13 · 07:20W. Wojtaszczyk1.73J. Wieczerzak2.00—Sep 13 · 08:35W. Wojtaszczyk1.61Z. Sobkow2.20—Sep 13 · 09:25W. Wojtaszczyk2.25A. Cichocki1.57—Sep 13 · 11:00W. Wojtaszczyk1.73M. Lach2.00—Sep 13 · 12:15W. Wojtaszczyk1.61Z. Sobkow2.20—Sep 13 · 13:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.73J. Wieczerzak2.00—
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