TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119130
Played Sep 12Finished
Marcin Lach
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12106111917119––
Daniel Morawiec
Away
1.96
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Morawiec to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
12106111917119––
H2H Marcin Lach 4–1 Daniel Morawiec Daniel Morawiec has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Lach beat Morawiec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:24What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Lach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Lach
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lach 1438 vs Morawiec 1394
Lach
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lach 80% vs Morawiec 20%
Lach
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lach 50% vs Morawiec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lach +3 · Morawiec -1
Lach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lach) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Morawiec form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.70 / Morawiec 1.96
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Lach)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13119130
Lach1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 114 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Morawiec1.96
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLach4wins
AwayMorawiec1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderLach leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLach100%4 of 4
AwayMorawiecn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lach4Morawiec1n = 5Lach took 4 of 5
S2Lach3Morawiec2n = 5Lach took 3 of 5
S3Lach3Morawiec2n = 5Lach took 3 of 5
S4Lach2Morawiec2n = 4split evenly
S5Lach2Morawiec1n = 3Lach took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricLachMorawiecL − MBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match43.636.4+7.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachMorawiecBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 224 vs 266 / 47662.5%55.9%140 / 224 vs 266 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachLach 1.70/Morawiec 1.96
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.8%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 12 · 09:30M. Lach3911611113D. Morawiec25611621
WAug 1 · 15:05M. Lach341112113D. Morawiec2691070
LAug 1 · 09:05M. Lach4371111772D. Morawiec41112611113
WJul 4 · 14:45M. Lach49111197113D. Morawiec4284111182
WJul 4 · 11:05M. Lach531210911113D. Morawiec48101211692
M. Lach10
WSep 12 · 14:20M. Lach1.761111113J. Wieczerzak1.908990WSep 12 · 12:45M. Lach1.8311115113M. Oracz1.81991161WSep 12 · 11:30M. Lach1.831111113F. Witczak1.836970LSep 12 · 10:20M. Oracz1.861111153M. Lach1.8073130WSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:45M. Lach1.908911111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133LSep 12 · 07:10M. Lach1.9011119992F. Witczak1.80981111113LSep 12 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.951111113M. Lach1.709980LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471
D. Morawiec10
LSep 12 · 14:45D. Morawiec1.8011811692W. Wojtaszczyk1.85911711113WSep 12 · 13:10D. Morawiec1.8511116123F. Witczak1.856911101LSep 12 · 12:20J. Wieczerzak1.801111611113D. Morawiec1.8652111382LSep 12 · 11:05D. Morawiec2.05117581W. Wojtaszczyk1.6871111113LSep 12 · 09:30D. Morawiec2.02611621M. Lach1.6511611113LSep 12 · 08:20D. Morawiec1.91123911112J. Wieczerzak1.731011119133WSep 12 · 06:45D. Morawiec2.00111011113M. Oracz1.67912791WSep 12 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.8611811123F. Witczak1.807118101WAug 29 · 16:40M. Oracz1.954560D. Morawiec1.761111113WAug 29 · 15:55R. Adach2.8591140D. Morawiec1.351113113
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