TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123433
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Witczak
Home
1.93
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111131181171113
Michal Oracz
Away
1.78
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Witczak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
105 points played in total.
Set by set
91111131181171113
H2H Filip Witczak 27–28 Michal Oracz Filip Witczak has won 27 of their 55 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Witczak beat Oracz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:21What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-28 in 55
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witczak 1405 vs Oracz 1395
Witczak
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witczak 40% vs Oracz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witczak 50% vs Oracz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witczak -1 · Oracz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitczak 1.93 / Oracz 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oracz)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13123433
Witczak1.93
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 25 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Oracz1.78
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 111 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it78% 90 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitczak7wins
AwayOracz3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWitczak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitczak100%6 of 6
AwayOracz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witczak6Oracz4n = 10Witczak took 6 of 10
S2Witczak8Oracz2n = 10Witczak took 8 of 10
S3Witczak6Oracz4n = 10Witczak took 6 of 10
S4Witczak1Oracz4n = 5Oracz took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitczakOraczW − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.135.3+1.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitczakOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 487 vs 326 / 53055.7%61.5%271 / 487 vs 326 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczWitczak 1.93/Oracz 1.78
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:20F. Witczak331111113M. Oracz249690
WSep 12 · 13:55F. Witczak4311129113M. Oracz378101181
LSep 12 · 07:55F. Witczak32711140M. Oracz401113163
LAug 29 · 14:20F. Witczak26512541M. Oracz43111011113
WAug 29 · 09:30F. Witczak371511113M. Oracz2313640
LAug 23 · 13:55F. Witczak33912661M. Oracz43111011113
WAug 23 · 10:40F. Witczak52119118133M. Oracz46511811112
WAug 15 · 15:30F. Witczak331111113M. Oracz197480
WAug 15 · 09:30F. Witczak331111113M. Oracz279990
WMay 9 · 13:55F. Witczak49711126133M. Oracz511181011112
F. Witczak10
LSep 13 · 12:45F. Witczak2.2581181282K. Slawinski1.541191110113WSep 13 · 11:30F. Witczak1.381516113P. Slosarczyk2.65131450LSep 13 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.63911811163F. Witczak2.15116118142LSep 13 · 09:30R. Wojcik2.1011913113F. Witczak1.679111171WSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.709980LSep 13 · 07:10F. Witczak1.381112811112P. Slosarczyk2.65714117133WSep 13 · 06:20M. Oracz1.909690F. Witczak1.801111113WSep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.836540F. Witczak1.861111113LSep 12 · 15:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.71121911113F. Witczak2.001417971WSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113
M. Oracz10
LSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz1.41911731R. Wojcik2.7011911113WSep 13 · 10:40M. Oracz1.801211113P. Slosarczyk1.9010370LSep 13 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.651111113M. Oracz2.035880WSep 13 · 08:20R. Wojcik2.3091040M. Oracz1.521112113WSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz1.351111113O. Sokolowski2.906580LSep 13 · 06:20M. Oracz1.909690F. Witczak1.801111113WSep 12 · 16:20M. Oracz1.821111123D. Morawiec1.9079100LSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113LSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113
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