TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123130
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111210511611––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:53 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
3111210511611––
H2H Michal Oracz 2–1 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Oracz beat Sokolowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:53What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1410 vs Sokolowski 1330
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 60% vs Sokolowski 40%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 40% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.36 / Sokolowski 2.90
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Oracz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13123130
Oracz1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 111 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it78% 90 of 115
Sokolowski2.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 68 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back18% 25 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOracz2wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
Oracz leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz2Sokolowski1n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
S2Oracz2Sokolowski1n = 3Oracz took 2 of 3
S3Oracz1Sokolowski2n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricOraczSokolowskiO − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.729.0+5.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 529 vs 122 / 35861.6%34.1%326 / 529 vs 122 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.36/Sokolowski 2.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz331111113O. Sokolowski196580
LMar 8 · 12:55M. Oracz238780O. Sokolowski331111113
WMar 8 · 06:55M. Oracz48111313113O. Sokolowski356111531
M. Oracz10
LSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz1.41911731R. Wojcik2.7011911113WSep 13 · 10:40M. Oracz1.801211113P. Slosarczyk1.9010370LSep 13 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.651111113M. Oracz2.035880WSep 13 · 08:20R. Wojcik2.3091040M. Oracz1.521112113WSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz1.351111113O. Sokolowski2.906580LSep 13 · 06:20M. Oracz1.909690F. Witczak1.801111113WSep 12 · 16:20M. Oracz1.821111123D. Morawiec1.9079100LSep 12 · 15:05M. Oracz1.806970J. Wieczerzak1.901111113LSep 12 · 13:55M. Oracz1.838101181F. Witczak1.8711129113LSep 12 · 12:45M. Lach1.8311115113M. Oracz1.81991161
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591WSep 13 · 11:05R. Wojcik1.6211411692O. Sokolowski2.08811511113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Sokolowski2.051113183P. Slosarczyk1.68911160LSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.709980LSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz1.351111113O. Sokolowski2.906580WSep 13 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.1911111281O. Sokolowski3.8513614113WSep 12 · 08:00O. Sokolowski1.9014511113P. Mecik1.801211951LSep 12 · 06:45O. Sokolowski3.105870R. Skotniczny1.331111113WSep 12 · 05:35O. Sokolowski3.10961211113K. Adamus1.30111110972LSep 12 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.401112114113O. Sokolowski2.6581471172
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