TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125215
Played Sep 14Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1199111210119––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Sikon above · Jakub Kaczmarek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 82 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Mateusz Sikon at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Sikon 3–2 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kaczmarek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1370 vs Kaczmarek 1326
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Kaczmarek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 50% vs Kaczmarek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +2 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sikon)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 1.91 / Kaczmarek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sikon)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13125215
Sikon1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 91 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back15% 25 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 107
Kaczmarek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite59% won 65 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSikon3wins
AwayKaczmarek2wins
Sikon leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKaczmarek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon1Kaczmarek4n = 5Kaczmarek took 4 of 5
S2Sikon2Kaczmarek3n = 5Kaczmarek took 3 of 5
S3Sikon4Kaczmarek1n = 5Sikon took 4 of 5
S4Sikon3Kaczmarek1n = 4Sikon took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSikonKaczmarekS − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match36.835.4+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 399 vs 476 / 129938.4%36.6%153 / 399 vs 476 / 1299Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonSikon 1.91/Kaczmarek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 9 · 08:00M. Sikon4491311113J. Kaczmarek391111981
WAug 27 · 11:50M. Sikon3911611113J. Kaczmarek31911561
WAug 27 · 03:50M. Sikon46131111113J. Kaczmarek35156591
LAug 1 · 03:35M. Sikon331071151J. Kaczmarek3912115113
LJul 20 · 11:25M. Sikon226790J. Kaczmarek331111113
M. Sikon10
WSep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon1.801111107153P. Przewlocki1.91771211132WSep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon2.631511113K. Slawinski1.4413990LSep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek1.50101211113M. Sikon2.501210281WSep 14 · 03:25M. Sikon3.00311911113L. Oracz1.3611611782LSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon3.50711881K. Slawinski1.2811511113WSep 10 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.1086100M. Sikon1.671111123LSep 10 · 11:50L. Oracz1.301111113M. Sikon3.406890WSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:50M. Sikon2.63116461P. Kurek1.4451111113LSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon3.75118951K. Slawinski1.2531111113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 14 · 06:55P. Kurek1.4491050J. Kaczmarek2.631112113LSep 14 · 06:05J. Kaczmarek3.0059110L. Oracz1.361111133LSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113WSep 14 · 03:50P. Przewlocki2.00107111182J. Kaczmarek1.73121168113WSep 10 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.923P. Slosarczyk1.731LSep 10 · 06:50J. Kaczmarek2.65681571P. Adamus1.38111113113WSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850LSep 9 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.831111981M. Sikon1.8391311113
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