TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13124383
Played Sep 14Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311116911117118
Lukasz Oracz
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMateusz Sikon above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Lukasz Oracz at 64.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Sikon 4–9 Lukasz Oracz Mateusz Sikon has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Oracz
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1347 vs Oracz 1488
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 40% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 30% vs Oracz 50%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -1 · Oracz +3
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 3.00 / Oracz 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Oracz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13124383
Sikon3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 90 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back14% 24 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 107
Oracz1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 374 of 585
Up 2–0, closes it96% 202 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it83% 292 of 354
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon4wins
AwayOracz6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon66.7%2 of 3
AwayOracz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S2Sikon4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Sikon3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S4Sikon2Oracz2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonOraczS − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.333.6−4.3per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 395 vs 832 / 149538%55.7%150 / 395 vs 832 / 1495Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczSikon 3.00/Oracz 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 11:50M. Sikon236890L. Oracz331111113
WSep 10 · 03:40M. Sikon4281211113L. Oracz381110891
LSep 7 · 02:45M. Sikon361171081L. Oracz4061112113
LSep 6 · 23:05M. Sikon175660L. Oracz331111113
WAug 28 · 22:35M. Sikon4011117113L. Oracz32491181
LAug 28 · 15:00M. Sikon177460L. Oracz331111113
LAug 27 · 14:20M. Sikon2596100L. Oracz341111123
LAug 27 · 08:10M. Sikon167360L. Oracz331111113
WAug 18 · 03:05M. Sikon331111113L. Oracz143470
WAug 12 · 24:10M. Sikon44411116123L. Oracz46117711102
M. Sikon10
LSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon3.50711881K. Slawinski1.2811511113WSep 10 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.1086100M. Sikon1.671111123LSep 10 · 11:50L. Oracz1.301111113M. Sikon3.406890WSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:50M. Sikon2.63116461P. Kurek1.4451111113LSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon3.75118951K. Slawinski1.2531111113LSep 10 · 06:30R. Idaczyk2.001111312113M. Sikon1.73138111082LSep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44981111113M. Sikon2.6311119882LSep 10 · 04:40M. Sikon3.25411741W. Urban1.3311711113WSep 10 · 03:40M. Sikon3.5081211113L. Oracz1.281110891
L. Oracz10
WSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113WSep 12 · 01:25O. Vincenec2.1011791162L. Oracz1.67511117113WSep 11 · 23:20S. Krupa2.208760L. Oracz1.611111113LSep 11 · 22:35K. Schaniel2.25114911113L. Oracz1.5771111682WSep 11 · 21:00G. Sawicki3.0013770L. Oracz1.361511113LSep 11 · 20:05A. Ruszkiewicz2.50651111113L. Oracz1.5011118962LSep 11 · 19:20O. Vincenec1.8371111123L. Oracz1.831187101WSep 11 · 17:20S. Krupa1.915370L. Oracz1.801111113WSep 10 · 11:50L. Oracz1.301111113M. Sikon3.406890LSep 10 · 03:40M. Sikon3.5081211113L. Oracz1.281110891
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
Sep 14 · 04:10M. Sikon2.50P. Kurek1.50—Sep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 14 · 07:45M. Sikon1.91J. Kaczmarek1.80—Sep 14 · 09:25M. Sikon3.00L. Oracz1.36—Sep 14 · 10:10M. Sikon1.91J. Kaczmarek1.80—Sep 14 · 11:25M. Sikon2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50P. Kurek1.50—
L. Oracz
Sep 14 · 04:55L. Oracz1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 14 · 06:05L. Oracz1.36J. Kaczmarek3.00—Sep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10K. Slawinski1.67—Sep 14 · 08:35L. Oracz1.53P. Kurek2.38—Sep 14 · 09:25L. Oracz1.36M. Sikon3.00—Sep 14 · 11:00L. Oracz1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 14 · 12:15L. Oracz1.53P. Kurek2.38—Sep 14 · 13:30L. Oracz2.10K. Slawinski1.67—Sep 14 · 14:40L. Oracz1.57J. Kaczmarek2.25—
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