TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125223
Played Sep 14Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513119119––––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMateusz Sikon above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 68 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 70.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Sikon 1–4 Kacper Slawinski Mateusz Sikon has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1341 vs Slawinski 1495
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 40% vs Slawinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 30% vs Slawinski 70%
Slawinski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -1 · Slawinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.63 / Slawinski 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Slawinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125223
Sikon2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 91 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back15% 25 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 107
Slawinski1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 107 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 78 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSikon1wins
AwaySlawinski4wins
Slawinski leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySlawinski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon2Slawinski3n = 5Slawinski took 3 of 5
S2Sikon3Slawinski2n = 5Sikon took 3 of 5
S3Sikon1Slawinski4n = 5Slawinski took 4 of 5
S4Sikon0Slawinski3n = 3Slawinski took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSikonSlawinskiSikon − SlawinskiBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match29.834.0−4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 397 vs 611 / 98838%61.8%151 / 397 vs 611 / 988Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSikon 2.63/Slawinski 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon34711881K. Slawinski3811511113
LSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon33118951K. Slawinski3631111113
LAug 18 · 07:55M. Sikon28511841K. Slawinski4011711113
WAug 17 · 09:50M. Sikon331111113K. Slawinski237880
LAug 17 · 05:40M. Sikon214980K. Slawinski331111113
M. Sikon10
LSep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek1.50101211113M. Sikon2.501210281WSep 14 · 03:25M. Sikon3.00311911113L. Oracz1.3611611782LSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon3.50711881K. Slawinski1.2811511113WSep 10 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.1086100M. Sikon1.671111123LSep 10 · 11:50L. Oracz1.301111113M. Sikon3.406890WSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:50M. Sikon2.63116461P. Kurek1.4451111113LSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon3.75118951K. Slawinski1.2531111113LSep 10 · 06:30R. Idaczyk2.001111312113M. Sikon1.73138111082LSep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44981111113M. Sikon2.6311119882
K. Slawinski10
WSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113LSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek2.751011911113K. Slawinski1.4012711782WSep 13 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.271211113R. Wojcik3.2010880LSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123LSep 13 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.378111191P. Slosarczyk2.7011136113WSep 13 · 12:45F. Witczak2.2581181282K. Slawinski1.541191110113WSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591WSep 13 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.63911811163F. Witczak2.15116118142WSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon3.50711881K. Slawinski1.2811511113WSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon3.75118951K. Slawinski1.2531111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
K. Slawinski
Sep 14 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.67L. Oracz2.10—Sep 14 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Sep 14 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.28J. Kaczmarek3.50—Sep 14 · 10:35K. Slawinski1.40P. Kurek2.75—Sep 14 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.44M. Sikon2.63—Sep 14 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.67L. Oracz2.10—Sep 14 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—
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