TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130861
Played Sep 15Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Milosz Cesarz
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeMilosz Cesarz to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
911811811––––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 9–20 Milosz Cesarz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:01What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-20 in 29
Cesarz
Correct
gap of 11 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1358 vs Cesarz 1125
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Cesarz 20%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 30% vs Cesarz 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +1 · Cesarz -4
Cesarz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cesarz form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.47 / Cesarz 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 35%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13130861
Ruszkiewicz1.47
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 49 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Cesarz2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 57 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back11% 19 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz5wins
AwayCesarz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz66.7%4 of 6
AwayCesarz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz6Cesarz4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz4Cesarz6n = 10Cesarz took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz6Cesarz4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz3Cesarz3n = 6split evenly
S5Ruszkiewicz1Cesarz2n = 3Cesarz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczCesarzR − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.936.3+1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczCesarzBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 862 vs 146 / 52836.9%27.7%318 / 862 vs 146 / 528Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.833.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.47/Cesarz 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.5%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cesarz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz259880M. Cesarz331111113
LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz258890M. Cesarz331111113
WSep 1 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz44111111113M. Cesarz34613691
WAug 18 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz48128134113M. Cesarz521011111192
WAug 6 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz331111113M. Cesarz188370
LAug 4 · 07:10A. Ruszkiewicz4311711772M. Cesarz46611711113
WJul 28 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz371114123M. Cesarz30812100
LJul 21 · 04:25A. Ruszkiewicz369116101M. Cesarz4011611123
LJul 14 · 07:35A. Ruszkiewicz45111071252M. Cesarz495121110113
WJul 7 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz43101111113M. Cesarz28124571
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 15 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1514914113R. Idaczyk1.6012111291WSep 15 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz1.7411811113J. Kaczmarek1.95811581LSep 15 · 04:25W. Urban1.581111113A. Ruszkiewicz2.136840WSep 15 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz1.8311114113J. Nowak1.83891161LSep 14 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.84810110J. Nowak1.801112133LSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113LSep 14 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.457990G. Marud1.451111113WSep 14 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.751111113M. Adamus1.987890LSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123LSep 13 · 22:20M. Adamus1.62911611123A. Ruszkiewicz2.07115115102
M. Cesarz10
LSep 15 · 08:20M. Cesarz2.4012590J. Kaczmarek1.471411113LSep 15 · 06:00W. Urban1.2891111113M. Cesarz3.15112791LSep 15 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.60118119102J. Nowak1.41711711123LSep 15 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.303131121R. Idaczyk1.2611159113LSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971WSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 06:25R. Skotniczny1.1981111113M. Cesarz3.80116541WSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.508890M. Cesarz2.401111113LSep 8 · 03:35K. Hetnar1.141111113M. Cesarz4.509640LSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113
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