TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139182
Played Sep 16Finished
Sebastian Krupa
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117114811119––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:26 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
117114811119––
H2H Sebastian Krupa 17–9 Mariusz Adamus Mariusz Adamus has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-9 in 26
Krupa
Correct
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupa 1341 vs Adamus 1470
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupa 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupa 60% vs Adamus 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupa -2 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 1.83 / Adamus 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adamus)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13139182
Krupa1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 114 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 84 of 105
Adamus1.86
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 175 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back21% 45 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupa7wins
AwayAdamus3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupa85.7%6 of 7
AwayAdamus66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupa7Adamus3n = 10Krupa took 7 of 10
S2Krupa7Adamus3n = 10Krupa took 7 of 10
S3Krupa3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S4Krupa4Adamus5n = 9Adamus took 5 of 9
S5Krupa3Adamus1n = 4Krupa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupaAdamusK − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.243.3+1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 608 vs 800 / 163850%48.8%304 / 608 vs 800 / 1638Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusKrupa 1.83/Adamus 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 18:00S. Krupa33413881M. Adamus44111111113
WJul 13 · 24:45S. Krupa45111112113M. Adamus32661461
WJul 12 · 18:45S. Krupa52111189133M. Adamus45661111112
LJun 24 · 22:00S. Krupa175390M. Adamus331111113
WJun 24 · 17:10S. Krupa4071111113M. Adamus34118871
WJun 8 · 24:45S. Krupa651916118113M. Adamus621714131172
WJun 7 · 18:45S. Krupa541381111113M. Adamus51111171392
WMay 25 · 24:45S. Krupa5511118253M. Adamus498711231
LMay 24 · 18:45S. Krupa46111161172M. Adamus45551113113
WMay 12 · 20:20S. Krupa4514911113M. Adamus381211691
S. Krupa10
LSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070LSep 16 · 19:10O. Sokolowski1.9911812123S. Krupa1.6781110101LSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113LSep 16 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1611711113S. Krupa1.57911971WSep 14 · 02:00S. Krupa1.4511811113G. Sawicki2.42911761WSep 14 · 24:45S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.404360WSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa1.52116711113R. Adach2.3771111832WSep 13 · 22:25I. Szymanski3.3011190S. Krupa1.251113113LSep 13 · 21:35S. Krupa2.50419211162P. Polok1.471117119183WSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa1.451111113R. Adach2.432250
M. Adamus10
LSep 16 · 19:35M. Adamus1.53811891J. Kaczmarek2.2311811113LSep 16 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.001112113M. Adamus1.7391080WSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113WSep 15 · 16:20M. Adamus1.969111111143R. Gajda1.70113135122WSep 15 · 15:05M. Adamus2.374121111113R. Skotniczny1.51111013332LSep 15 · 13:55M. Adamus1.8301251182K. Jablonski1.831110118113LSep 15 · 12:45L. Oracz1.551111510113M. Adamus2.3079111252WSep 15 · 11:55M. Adamus2.6511119113M. Durda1.40891161WSep 15 · 10:20M. Adamus2.2011118113L. Oracz1.60971191WSep 15 · 09:05M. Adamus2.301112123R. Skotniczny1.55910100
Upcoming Matches
S. Krupa
Nothing scheduled
M. Adamus
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.