TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140981
Played Sep 16Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118811911––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
2.23
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
811118811911––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 55–45 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 45 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (59%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-45 in 100
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 10 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1453 vs Kaczmarek 1289
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Kaczmarek 40%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Kaczmarek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Kaczmarek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.53 / Kaczmarek 2.23
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Adamus)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13140981
Adamus1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 207 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it71% 139 of 196
Kaczmarek2.23
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 156 of 478
Down 0–1, comes back18% 54 of 308
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus7wins
AwayKaczmarek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus85.7%6 of 7
AwayKaczmarek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Kaczmarek3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Adamus8Kaczmarek2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Adamus5Kaczmarek2n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S5Adamus1Kaczmarek2n = 3Kaczmarek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusKaczmarekA − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.535.7+4.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime800 / 1639 vs 482 / 131548.8%36.7%800 / 1639 vs 482 / 1315Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.53/Kaczmarek 2.23
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:45M. Adamus4511811692J. Kaczmarek45511711113
WSep 8 · 03:10M. Adamus3911611113J. Kaczmarek34811961
WSep 7 · 13:05M. Adamus4071111113J. Kaczmarek31116681
WAug 28 · 07:10M. Adamus4613913113J. Kaczmarek4211111191
LAug 14 · 11:55M. Adamus3855111162J. Kaczmarek49111179113
LAug 14 · 05:55M. Adamus2712780J. Kaczmarek361411113
WAug 13 · 06:50M. Adamus591111916123J. Kaczmarek46431118102
WAug 12 · 08:00M. Adamus361114113J. Kaczmarek2471250
WAug 4 · 05:35M. Adamus4211812113J. Kaczmarek338111041
WAug 2 · 05:35M. Adamus331111113J. Kaczmarek178540
M. Adamus10
LSep 16 · 18:25S. Krupa1.8311118113M. Adamus1.86741191LSep 16 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.001112113M. Adamus1.7391080WSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113WSep 15 · 16:20M. Adamus1.969111111143R. Gajda1.70113135122WSep 15 · 15:05M. Adamus2.374121111113R. Skotniczny1.51111013332LSep 15 · 13:55M. Adamus1.8301251182K. Jablonski1.831110118113LSep 15 · 12:45L. Oracz1.551111510113M. Adamus2.3079111252WSep 15 · 11:55M. Adamus2.6511119113M. Durda1.40891161WSep 15 · 10:20M. Adamus2.2011118113L. Oracz1.60971191WSep 15 · 09:05M. Adamus2.301112123R. Skotniczny1.55910100
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 16 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.769590J. Kaczmarek1.901111113LSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272WSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113LSep 16 · 15:10O. Sokolowski1.59116812123J. Kaczmarek2.138111110102WSep 16 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.351111113K. Kowalski3.008860LSep 16 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek3.2081111592S. Szostok1.27116911113LSep 16 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2.2091412692M. Paszkiewicz1.5711121011113LSep 16 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.0441080P. Mecik1.641112113WSep 16 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.8511811113M. Lebek1.33911991WSep 15 · 08:20M. Cesarz2.4012590J. Kaczmarek1.471411113
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