TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136418
Played Sep 16Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.59
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11861181112101210
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
2.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Kaczmarek to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
11861181112101210
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 3–10 Jakub Kaczmarek Oliwier Sokolowski has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.59 (57%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Kaczmarek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1370 vs Kaczmarek 1291
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 80% vs Kaczmarek 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 60% vs Kaczmarek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +1 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.59 / Kaczmarek 2.13
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Sokolowski)+1.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13136418
Sokolowski1.59
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 74 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it82% 53 of 65
Kaczmarek2.13
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 156 of 478
Down 0–1, comes back18% 54 of 308
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokolowski3wins
AwayKaczmarek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKaczmarek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski100%3 of 3
AwayKaczmarek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski3Kaczmarek7n = 10Kaczmarek took 7 of 10
S2Sokolowski9Kaczmarek1n = 10Sokolowski took 9 of 10
S3Sokolowski3Kaczmarek7n = 10Kaczmarek took 7 of 10
S4Sokolowski2Kaczmarek7n = 9Kaczmarek took 7 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokolowskiKaczmarekS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.539.0−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 537 vs 481 / 131242.8%36.7%230 / 537 vs 481 / 1312Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.59/Kaczmarek 2.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 05:50O. Sokolowski4171110131J. Kaczmarek4511712153
LSep 9 · 03:35O. Sokolowski35911871J. Kaczmarek4111811113
LSep 3 · 06:00O. Sokolowski317113101J. Kaczmarek4111711123
WAug 14 · 17:05O. Sokolowski4211911113J. Kaczmarek28711641
LAug 14 · 08:45O. Sokolowski5091117672J. Kaczmarek571191511113
WAug 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski331111113J. Kaczmarek194960
LAug 12 · 04:25O. Sokolowski37911981J. Kaczmarek3911611113
LJul 27 · 10:10O. Sokolowski4211111191J. Kaczmarek4213513113
WJun 29 · 11:50O. Sokolowski3911116113J. Kaczmarek34881171
LJun 29 · 03:50O. Sokolowski35813681J. Kaczmarek44111111113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski1.901111123K. Schaniel1.7579100LSep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski2.0489100R. Wiza1.711111123WSep 13 · 02:20O. Sokolowski1.2511811123A. Szurgot3.455117101WSep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski2.2711911113R. Szymik1.52611751WSep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski1.5281117113G. Sawicki2.271141561WSep 12 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.5811514111O. Sokolowski2.1471116133LSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113LSep 12 · 06:25P. Mecik2.0111118113O. Sokolowski1.66981191WSep 12 · 05:10R. Skotniczny1.809570O. Sokolowski1.851111113LSep 12 · 03:35O. Sokolowski2.251712113O. Sokolowski1.57151080
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113WSep 16 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.351111113K. Kowalski3.008860LSep 16 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek3.2081111592S. Szostok1.27116911113LSep 16 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2.2091412692M. Paszkiewicz1.5711121011113LSep 16 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.0441080P. Mecik1.641112113WSep 16 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.8511811113M. Lebek1.33911991WSep 15 · 08:20M. Cesarz2.4012590J. Kaczmarek1.471411113WSep 15 · 07:35J. Nowak1.9011813101J. Kaczmarek1.80131111123LSep 15 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz1.7411811113J. Kaczmarek1.95811581LSep 15 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.491113113J. Kaczmarek2.3431160
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