Mariusz Koczyba vs Jakub Pruszkowski 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134312

Played Sep 15Finished

Mariusz Koczyba

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

5116111917711––

Jakub Pruszkowski

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:26 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%

Graded at full time

Jakub Pruszkowski to win

58.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMariusz Koczyba above · Jakub Pruszkowski below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 19-17

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 87 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 58.5%

87 points played in total.

H2H Mariusz Koczyba 14–25 Jakub Pruszkowski Mariusz Koczyba has won 14 of their 39 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:26

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Pruszkowski

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

14-25 in 39

Pruszkowski

Correct

gap of 11 in 39, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Koczyba 1400 vs Pruszkowski 1532

Pruszkowski

Correct

both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Koczyba 80% vs Pruszkowski 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Koczyba 70% vs Pruszkowski 80%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Koczyba +4 · Pruszkowski -1

Koczyba

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pruszkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKoczyba 2.10 / Pruszkowski 1.67

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Pruszkowski)+3.6pp

TT Elite Series · #13134312

Koczyba2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 26 of 61

Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39

Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24

Pruszkowski1.67

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite65% won 459 of 702

Up 2–0, closes it95% 236 of 248

Up 1–0, closes it83% 356 of 428

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKoczyba2wins

AwayPruszkowski8wins

5 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKoczyba25%1 of 4

AwayPruszkowski83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Koczyba4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10

S2Koczyba3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10

S3Koczyba4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10

S4Koczyba2Pruszkowski6n = 8Pruszkowski took 6 of 8

S5Koczyba2Pruszkowski3n = 5Pruszkowski took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricKoczybaPruszkowskiK − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.943.2−3.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKoczybaPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime858 / 1313 vs 1134 / 178665.4%63.5%858 / 1313 vs 1134 / 1786Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pruszkowski

Koczyba 2.10/Pruszkowski 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.4%

Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Pruszkowski won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 6 · 02:00M. Koczyba31581171J. Pruszkowski4111118113

LAug 5 · 16:25M. Koczyba4311118942J. Pruszkowski45931111113

LJul 30 · 02:00M. Koczyba33811591J. Pruszkowski3811511113

LJul 29 · 16:25M. Koczyba4511611892J. Pruszkowski51911911113

LJul 28 · 18:25M. Koczyba417911141J. Pruszkowski4211114163

LJul 21 · 16:15M. Koczyba30109110J. Pruszkowski361211133

WJun 18 · 15:35M. Koczyba559141011113J. Pruszkowski49111212862

LMay 28 · 23:35M. Koczyba4613771182J. Pruszkowski521111118113

WApr 10 · 24:45M. Koczyba521110119113J. Pruszkowski4491251172

LMar 3 · 17:50M. Koczyba2310670J. Pruszkowski341211113

M. Koczyba10

WSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070 WSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120 WSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272 WSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113 LSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113 WSep 16 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.7351111123G. Marud2.001188101 WSep 16 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.73511119113K. Schaniel2.0011781152 LSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113 LSep 15 · 22:10P. Adamus1.671211113M. Koczyba2.1010890 WSep 15 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.831111113P. Adamus1.836870

J. Pruszkowski10

WSep 16 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski1.221111113O. Sokolowski3.606660 WSep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski1.6211811113P. Adamus2.15711991 LSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus1.6711511133J. Pruszkowski2.109118111 WSep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.611111113G. Jurowicz2.209730 LSep 16 · 24:10G. Marud2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.503880 LSep 15 · 22:55K. Schaniel2.7571112113J. Pruszkowski1.401151071 LSep 15 · 20:30G. Marud2.1011117133J. Pruszkowski1.679711111 WSep 15 · 19:20J. Pruszkowski1.50111412113G. Jurowicz2.508161091 WSep 15 · 18:10P. Adamus1.80711661J. Pruszkowski1.9111911113 WSep 15 · 16:55K. Schaniel2.5011750J. Pruszkowski1.501311113

Upcoming Matches

M. Koczyba

Sep 17 · 16:00M. Koczyba—W. Pytlas——Sep 17 · 21:35M. Koczyba—P. Polok——

J. Pruszkowski

Sep 17 · 24:00J. Pruszkowski1.80O. Jadach1.86—Sep 17 · 24:45J. Pruszkowski1.41O. Vincenec2.60—Sep 17 · 02:20J. Pruszkowski1.63M. Lebek2.05—Sep 17 · 04:00J. Pruszkowski1.83O. Jadach1.81—Sep 17 · 05:10J. Pruszkowski1.22O. Sokolowski3.60—Sep 17 · 06:00J. Pruszkowski1.47P. Adamus2.38—

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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