Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147417

Starts 10:50 PMScheduled

Grzegorz Jurowicz

Home

3.05

At publish

Lost last 1

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

5 – 6

All 11 meetings · 45.5%

Last 10 · 5–5

Marek Tkocz

Away

1.29

At publish

Won last 2

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 8h before this match

Tkocz beat Jurowicz 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJurowicz 3.05 / Tkocz 1.29

TT Elite Series · #13147417

Jurowicz3.05

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog36% won 93 of 256

Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 155

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89

Tkocz1.29

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite67% won 299 of 444

Up 2–0, closes it95% 169 of 178

Up 1–0, closes it84% 244 of 289

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeJurowicz5wins

AwayTkocz5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJurowicz100%4 of 4

AwayTkocz83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Jurowicz4Tkocz6n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10

S2Jurowicz5Tkocz5n = 10split evenly

S3Jurowicz6Tkocz4n = 10Jurowicz took 6 of 10

S4Jurowicz3Tkocz6n = 9Tkocz took 6 of 9

S5Jurowicz3Tkocz1n = 4Jurowicz took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricJurowiczTkoczJ − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.838.8−3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJurowiczTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime309 / 784 vs 774 / 116539.4%66.4%309 / 784 vs 774 / 1165Avg sets wonper match1.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz4371191152M. Tkocz48118117113

WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz331111113M. Tkocz217590

LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz32871161M. Tkocz3711114113

WDec 25 · 14:55G. Jurowicz43116114113M. Tkocz4271161172

LDec 25 · 06:30G. Jurowicz27411751M. Tkocz3811511113

LDec 24 · 01:00G. Jurowicz30512581M. Tkocz43111011113

WDec 23 · 20:35G. Jurowicz4111811113M. Tkocz30711841

LJun 23 · 15:55G. Jurowicz23521241M. Tkocz43111110113

WJun 23 · 09:55G. Jurowicz46581111113M. Tkocz4411115982

WJun 9 · 11:30G. Jurowicz40111134113M. Tkocz4259111162

G. Jurowicz10

LSep 17 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.50331681W. Pytlas1.43111114113 WSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560 LSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113 LSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690 LSep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.611111113G. Jurowicz2.209730 WSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113 LSep 15 · 22:35G. Marud1.4011117113G. Jurowicz2.75741111 LSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650 WSep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel1.6111116672G. Jurowicz2.20751111113 LSep 15 · 19:20J. Pruszkowski1.50111412113G. Jurowicz2.508161091

M. Tkocz10

WSep 17 · 17:35W. Jozala4.1041111692M. Tkocz1.17118911113 LSep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83511115113M. Tkocz1.8111651182 WSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113 LSep 16 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.2511511113M. Tkocz1.55411971 LSep 16 · 01:10S. Szostok1.8611125113M. Tkocz1.837101171 WSep 16 · 24:25M. Tkocz1.1071111123K. Kowalski5.401145101 LSep 15 · 22:50M. Tkocz1.746680M. Lebek1.951111113 WSep 15 · 22:00P. Polok1.806111071M. Tkocz1.9111712113 WSep 15 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.77111111113K. Juszczyk1.93137541 WSep 15 · 18:45J. Orszulik2.42116361M. Tkocz1.4641111113

Upcoming Matches

G. Jurowicz

Sep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz3.20M. Koczyba1.27—Sep 17 · 20:45G. Jurowicz3.20P. Zemla1.27—Sep 17 · 22:00G. Jurowicz2.15M. Adamus1.57—Sep 18 · 24:25G. Jurowicz3.35P. Polok1.25—Sep 18 · 01:10G. Jurowicz2.70M. Lebek1.37—Sep 18 · 02:00G. Jurowicz3.05M. Koczyba1.29—

M. Tkocz

Sep 17 · 19:35M. Tkocz1.85P. Zemla1.79—Sep 17 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.56W. Pytlas2.19—Sep 17 · 21:10M. Tkocz1.68M. Lebek1.97—Sep 17 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.84M. Koczyba1.79—Sep 18 · 01:35M. Tkocz1.92P. Polok1.73—Sep 18 · 02:20M. Tkocz1.44M. Adamus2.45—

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