Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147413

Starts 11:35 PMScheduled

Mariusz Koczyba

Home

1.79

At publish

Won last 2

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Head to head

47 – 26

All 73 meetings · 64.4%

Last 10 · 6–4Same side

Marek Tkocz

Away

1.84

At publish

Won last 1

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 7h before this match

Koczyba beat Tkocz 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKoczyba 1.79 / Tkocz 1.84

TT Elite Series · #13147413

Koczyba1.79

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite66% won 323 of 491

Up 2–0, closes it94% 168 of 178

Up 1–0, closes it81% 229 of 284

Tkocz1.84

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog39% won 19 of 49

Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKoczyba6wins

AwayTkocz4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderKoczyba leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKoczyba100%6 of 6

AwayTkocz100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Koczyba6Tkocz4n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10

S2Koczyba2Tkocz8n = 10Tkocz took 8 of 10

S3Koczyba7Tkocz3n = 10Koczyba took 7 of 10

S4Koczyba5Tkocz4n = 9Koczyba took 5 of 9

S5Koczyba2Tkocz1n = 3Koczyba took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKoczybaTkoczK − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.837.0+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKoczybaTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime859 / 1315 vs 774 / 116665.3%66.4%859 / 1315 vs 774 / 1166Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba4111811113M. Tkocz32911661

WAug 20 · 15:35M. Koczyba521110118123M. Tkocz42312611102

LJun 30 · 16:00M. Koczyba26311571M. Tkocz3811511113

LJun 25 · 17:35M. Koczyba237970M. Tkocz331111113

WJun 23 · 16:50M. Koczyba3912511113M. Tkocz261011231

LJun 18 · 18:45M. Koczyba263211101M. Tkocz4111117123

LJun 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba3941151182M. Tkocz51119119113

WJun 11 · 18:45M. Koczyba491110116113M. Tkocz4581271172

WJun 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba45111211113M. Tkocz29514731

WJun 2 · 21:35M. Koczyba3811511113M. Tkocz33611971

M. Koczyba10

WSep 17 · 18:25M. Koczyba1.851111123P. Zemla1.7889100 WSep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83511115113M. Tkocz1.8111651182 LSep 17 · 16:00W. Pytlas2.2113115113M. Koczyba1.551181171 WSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070 WSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120 WSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272 WSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113 LSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113 WSep 16 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.7351111123G. Marud2.001188101 WSep 16 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.73511119113K. Schaniel2.0011781152

M. Tkocz10

WSep 17 · 17:35W. Jozala4.1041111692M. Tkocz1.17118911113 LSep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83511115113M. Tkocz1.8111651182 WSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113 LSep 16 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.2511511113M. Tkocz1.55411971 LSep 16 · 01:10S. Szostok1.8611125113M. Tkocz1.837101171 WSep 16 · 24:25M. Tkocz1.1071111123K. Kowalski5.401145101 LSep 15 · 22:50M. Tkocz1.746680M. Lebek1.951111113 WSep 15 · 22:00P. Polok1.806111071M. Tkocz1.9111712113 WSep 15 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.77111111113K. Juszczyk1.93137541 WSep 15 · 18:45J. Orszulik2.42116361M. Tkocz1.4641111113

Upcoming Matches

M. Koczyba

Sep 17 · 19:10M. Koczyba1.27G. Jurowicz3.20—Sep 17 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.16W. Jozala4.25—Sep 17 · 21:35M. Koczyba1.93P. Polok1.72—Sep 17 · 22:25M. Koczyba1.64M. Lebek2.05—Sep 18 · 24:45M. Koczyba1.44M. Adamus2.45—Sep 18 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.29G. Jurowicz3.05—

M. Tkocz

Sep 17 · 19:35M. Tkocz1.85P. Zemla1.79—Sep 17 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.56W. Pytlas2.19—Sep 17 · 21:10M. Tkocz1.68M. Lebek1.97—Sep 17 · 22:50M. Tkocz1.29G. Jurowicz3.05—Sep 18 · 01:35M. Tkocz1.92P. Polok1.73—Sep 18 · 02:20M. Tkocz1.44M. Adamus2.45—

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