TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143467
Played Sep 17Finished
Wojciech Pytlas
Home
2.21
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311118511117––
Mariusz Koczyba
Away
1.55
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1311118511117––
H2H Wojciech Pytlas 38–40 Mariusz Koczyba Wojciech Pytlas has won 38 of their 78 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Koczyba
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-40 in 78
Koczyba
Wrong
gap of 2 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytlas 1291 vs Koczyba 1447
Koczyba
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytlas 0% vs Koczyba 80%
Koczyba
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytlas 30% vs Koczyba 60%
Koczyba
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytlas -5 · Koczyba +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Koczyba) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koczyba form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytlas 2.21 / Koczyba 1.55
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Koczyba)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13143467
Pytlas2.21
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 50 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 42
Koczyba1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 323 of 491
Up 2–0, closes it94% 168 of 178
Up 1–0, closes it81% 229 of 284
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytlas5wins
AwayKoczyba5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytlas50%2 of 4
AwayKoczyba50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytlas4Koczyba6n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S2Pytlas4Koczyba6n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S3Pytlas4Koczyba6n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S4Pytlas4Koczyba2n = 6Pytlas took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytlasKoczybaP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.535.8−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytlasKoczybaBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 755 vs 860 / 131652.5%65.4%396 / 755 vs 860 / 1316Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaPytlas 2.21/Koczyba 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pytlas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 07:10W. Pytlas49171110113M. Koczyba431591271
LAug 19 · 15:35W. Pytlas199370M. Koczyba331111113
LAug 9 · 08:00W. Pytlas381181091M. Koczyba4391112113
WJul 29 · 17:35W. Pytlas341112113M. Koczyba2581070
WJul 28 · 16:00W. Pytlas3951111123M. Koczyba281125101
LJul 26 · 08:00W. Pytlas198560M. Koczyba331111113
WJul 22 · 19:10W. Pytlas3741111113M. Koczyba29111891
LJul 15 · 16:25W. Pytlas36129961M. Koczyba43101111113
LJul 12 · 04:50W. Pytlas133640M. Koczyba331111113
WJul 9 · 17:35W. Pytlas511081111113M. Koczyba4812119882
W. Pytlas10
LSep 13 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.306430I. Szymanski3.251111113LSep 13 · 07:10W. Pytlas2.173580P. Zemla1.571111113LSep 13 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.80931191M. Adamus1.8511119113LSep 13 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.557650T. Lojtek2.301111113LSep 13 · 03:10W. Pytlas1.858660K. Juszczyk1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.5811514111O. Sokolowski2.1471116133WSep 12 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.57111193113P. Mecik2.2598111172WSep 12 · 06:00W. Pytlas2.0591111113R. Skotniczny1.64115551WSep 12 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.401112114113O. Sokolowski2.6581471172LSep 12 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.05711139182K. Adamus1.681131111203
M. Koczyba10
WSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070WSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120WSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272WSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113LSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113WSep 16 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.7351111123G. Marud2.001188101WSep 16 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.73511119113K. Schaniel2.0011781152LSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113LSep 15 · 22:10P. Adamus1.671211113M. Koczyba2.1010890LSep 15 · 21:20M. Koczyba2.10561971J. Pruszkowski1.67111117113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Koczyba
Sep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83M. Tkocz1.81—Sep 17 · 18:25M. Koczyba1.85P. Zemla1.78—Sep 17 · 19:10M. Koczyba1.27G. Jurowicz3.20—Sep 17 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.16W. Jozala4.25—Sep 17 · 21:35M. Koczyba1.93P. Polok1.72—Sep 17 · 22:25M. Koczyba1.64M. Lebek2.05—Sep 17 · 23:35M. Koczyba1.79M. Tkocz1.84—Sep 18 · 24:45M. Koczyba1.44M. Adamus2.45—Sep 18 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.29G. Jurowicz3.05—
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