TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147435
Played Sep 17Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012211––––
Mariusz Koczyba
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
5111012211––––
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 3–2 Mariusz Koczyba Mariusz Koczyba has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1313 vs Koczyba 1456
Koczyba
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 20% vs Koczyba 80%
Koczyba
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 30% vs Koczyba 80%
Koczyba
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz -1 · Koczyba +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Koczyba) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 2.95 / Koczyba 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Koczyba)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13147435
Jurowicz2.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 93 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Koczyba1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 323 of 491
Up 2–0, closes it94% 168 of 178
Up 1–0, closes it81% 229 of 284
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJurowicz3wins
AwayKoczyba2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderJurowicz leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowicz66.7%2 of 3
AwayKoczyban = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz3Koczyba2n = 5Jurowicz took 3 of 5
S2Jurowicz2Koczyba3n = 5Koczyba took 3 of 5
S3Jurowicz2Koczyba3n = 5Koczyba took 3 of 5
S4Jurowicz1Koczyba2n = 3Koczyba took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricJurowiczKoczybaJ − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.235.4−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczKoczybaBasisWin rate · lifetime309 / 784 vs 859 / 131539.4%65.3%309 / 784 vs 859 / 1315Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaJurowicz 2.95/Koczyba 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 15 · 23:20G. Jurowicz46412118113M. Koczyba41111051142
LSep 15 · 17:20G. Jurowicz2371060M. Koczyba341112113
WSep 9 · 24:35G. Jurowicz43117311113M. Koczyba4151111952
WSep 8 · 18:30G. Jurowicz371511113M. Koczyba2413560
LDec 24 · 01:45G. Jurowicz27113491M. Koczyba3741111113
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 17 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.50331681W. Pytlas1.43111114113WSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560LSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113LSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690LSep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.611111113G. Jurowicz2.209730WSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113LSep 15 · 22:35G. Marud1.4011117113G. Jurowicz2.75741111LSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650WSep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel1.6111116672G. Jurowicz2.20751111113LSep 15 · 19:20J. Pruszkowski1.50111412113G. Jurowicz2.508161091
M. Koczyba10
WSep 17 · 20:00W. Jozala4.255640M. Koczyba1.161111113WSep 17 · 18:25M. Koczyba1.851111123P. Zemla1.7889100WSep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83511115113M. Tkocz1.8111651182LSep 17 · 16:00W. Pytlas2.2113115113M. Koczyba1.551181171WSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070WSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120WSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272WSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113LSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113LSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113
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