TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147430
Played Sep 17Finished
Waldemar Jozala
Home
4.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611411––––
Mariusz Koczyba
Away
1.16
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:10 and never touched — 84.9% is still 84.9%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
84.9%
84.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
511611411––––
H2H Waldemar Jozala 0–28 Mariusz Koczyba Waldemar Jozala has won 0 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.16 (79%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-28 in 28
Koczyba
Correct
gap of 28 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jozala 1152 vs Koczyba 1465
Koczyba
Correct
both rated, 313 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jozala 0% vs Koczyba 80%
Koczyba
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jozala 20% vs Koczyba 80%
Koczyba
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jozala -5 · Koczyba +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Koczyba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jozala form (0%) is below what odds imply (24%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJozala 4.25 / Koczyba 1.16
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Koczyba)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13147430
Jozala4.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog22% won 15 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Koczyba1.16
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 323 of 491
Up 2–0, closes it94% 168 of 178
Up 1–0, closes it81% 229 of 284
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJozala0wins
AwayKoczyba10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKoczyba leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJozalan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKoczyba100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jozala1Koczyba9n = 10Koczyba took 9 of 10
S2Jozala2Koczyba8n = 10Koczyba took 8 of 10
S3Jozala3Koczyba7n = 10Koczyba took 7 of 10
S4Jozala1Koczyba5n = 6Koczyba took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJozalaKoczybaJ − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.839.9−10.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJozalaKoczybaBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 314 vs 860 / 131636.9%65.4%116 / 314 vs 860 / 1316Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaJozala 4.25/Koczyba 1.16
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.9%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 18:45W. Jozala331131271M. Koczyba4481114113
LApr 30 · 17:35W. Jozala29511491M. Koczyba4011711113
LApr 29 · 17:35W. Jozala205780M. Koczyba331111113
LApr 22 · 15:35W. Jozala181980M. Koczyba331111113
LApr 8 · 16:25W. Jozala3711511101M. Koczyba4413118123
LApr 1 · 16:25W. Jozala33612961M. Koczyba43111011113
LMar 25 · 16:35W. Jozala165650M. Koczyba331111113
LMar 18 · 17:25W. Jozala539101111122M. Koczyba51111259143
LMar 11 · 17:25W. Jozala3810111161M. Koczyba4512139113
LMar 4 · 17:25W. Jozala218850M. Koczyba331111113
W. Jozala10
LSep 17 · 18:45W. Jozala3.308340W. Pytlas1.251111113LSep 17 · 17:35W. Jozala4.1041111692M. Tkocz1.17118911113LSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560LSep 17 · 15:35W. Jozala4.25461371P. Zemla1.16111111113LSep 9 · 20:20W. Jozala2.604850M. Baron1.411111113LSep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.5581114113W. Jozala2.251131271LSep 9 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.311111113W. Jozala2.959760WSep 9 · 17:10W. Jozala1.951111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.759050LSep 9 · 16:00W. Jozala2.80119571S. Krupa1.3561111113WSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113
M. Koczyba10
WSep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.9551020M. Koczyba1.361112113WSep 17 · 18:25M. Koczyba1.851111123P. Zemla1.7889100WSep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83511115113M. Tkocz1.8111651182LSep 17 · 16:00W. Pytlas2.2113115113M. Koczyba1.551181171WSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070WSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120WSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272WSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113LSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113WSep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.5581114113W. Jozala2.251131271
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