TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147420
Played Sep 17Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811311––––
Mariusz Koczyba
Away
1.64
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:10 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
911811311––––
H2H Marian Lebek 9–53 Mariusz Koczyba Marian Lebek has won 9 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (56%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-53 in 62
Koczyba
Correct
gap of 44 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1452 vs Koczyba 1457
Koczyba
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 60% vs Koczyba 80%
Koczyba
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 60% vs Koczyba 80%
Koczyba
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek +1 · Koczyba -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Koczyba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koczyba form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 2.05 / Koczyba 1.64
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Koczyba)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13147420
Lebek2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 91 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Koczyba1.64
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 323 of 491
Up 2–0, closes it94% 168 of 178
Up 1–0, closes it81% 229 of 284
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek1wins
AwayKoczyba9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKoczyba leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKoczyba88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek1Koczyba9n = 10Koczyba took 9 of 10
S2Lebek4Koczyba6n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S3Lebek2Koczyba8n = 10Koczyba took 8 of 10
S4Lebek2Koczyba3n = 5Koczyba took 3 of 5
S5Lebek1Koczyba3n = 4Koczyba took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekKoczybaL − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.539.6−8.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekKoczybaBasisWin rate · lifetime850 / 1458 vs 860 / 131658.3%65.4%850 / 1458 vs 860 / 1316Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaLebek 2.05/Koczyba 1.64
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.1%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 23:35M. Lebek154740M. Koczyba331111113
LAug 12 · 23:35M. Lebek45111011762M. Koczyba47812511113
LAug 5 · 23:35M. Lebek43111181122M. Koczyba48136117113
LJul 29 · 23:35M. Lebek2165100M. Koczyba341111123
WJul 23 · 24:25M. Lebek50911118113M. Koczyba3611351162
LJul 15 · 21:35M. Lebek4051151182M. Koczyba51119119113
LJul 8 · 22:50M. Lebek341212371M. Koczyba46141011113
LJul 1 · 21:35M. Lebek215790M. Koczyba331111113
LJun 24 · 23:35M. Lebek2587100M. Koczyba341111123
LJun 18 · 02:00M. Lebek2161050M. Koczyba341112113
M. Lebek10
WSep 17 · 21:10M. Lebek2.001171110113M. Tkocz1.7151161272LSep 17 · 08:20J. Pruszkowski1.8361211113M. Lebek1.831110861LSep 17 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.15711129113M. Lebek1.28116101132WSep 17 · 05:35O. Vincenec2.255690M. Lebek1.521111113WSep 17 · 04:50O. Jadach1.756470M. Lebek1.901111113LSep 17 · 03:10P. Adamus1.80111278113M. Lebek1.90810111172WSep 17 · 02:20J. Pruszkowski1.635111071M. Lebek2.0511912113WSep 17 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.955121161M. Lebek1.3511148113LSep 16 · 23:35O. Vincenec2.2011118123M. Lebek1.577911101WSep 16 · 22:50P. Adamus2.0013840M. Lebek1.701511113
M. Koczyba10
LSep 17 · 21:35M. Koczyba1.9310870P. Polok1.721211113WSep 17 · 20:00W. Jozala4.255640M. Koczyba1.161111113WSep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.9551020M. Koczyba1.361112113WSep 17 · 18:25M. Koczyba1.851111123P. Zemla1.7889100WSep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83511115113M. Tkocz1.8111651182LSep 17 · 16:00W. Pytlas2.2113115113M. Koczyba1.551181171WSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070WSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120WSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272WSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113
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