TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140959
Played Sep 16Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171198111210––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1171198111210––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 18–27 Marian Lebek Oliver Vincenec has won 18 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-27 in 45
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1322 vs Lebek 1440
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 0% vs Lebek 80%
Lebek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 20% vs Lebek 70%
Lebek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -5 · Lebek +2
Vincenec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 2.20 / Lebek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Lebek)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13140959
Vincenec2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 183 of 455
Down 0–1, comes back23% 63 of 272
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 136
Lebek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 238 of 377
Up 2–0, closes it96% 160 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it82% 210 of 255
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec5wins
AwayLebek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec60%3 of 5
AwayLebek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vincenec5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vincenec5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vincenec5Lebek3n = 8Vincenec took 5 of 8
S5Vincenec1Lebek2n = 3Lebek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecLebekV − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.0+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime664 / 1465 vs 845 / 145145.3%58.2%664 / 1465 vs 845 / 1451Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekVincenec 2.20/Lebek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 05:10O. Vincenec226880M. Lebek331111113
WAug 5 · 03:10O. Vincenec4918911113M. Lebek371611641
WJul 29 · 04:00O. Vincenec4011117113M. Lebek30551191
LJul 29 · 24:00O. Vincenec39157891M. Lebek46131111113
LJul 23 · 06:25O. Vincenec31571271M. Lebek43111110113
WJul 23 · 02:45O. Vincenec331111113M. Lebek215880
LJul 22 · 04:00O. Vincenec4361111692M. Lebek44117411113
WJul 22 · 24:00O. Vincenec4291111113M. Lebek35118971
WJul 16 · 05:10O. Vincenec511011811113M. Lebek4112811462
LJul 15 · 23:10O. Vincenec4512941192M. Lebek501011117113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 17 · 24:45O. Vincenec2.60981161J. Pruszkowski1.4111115113LSep 16 · 22:25O. Jadach1.5091211113O. Vincenec2.401110731LSep 16 · 21:35O. Vincenec1.586111441O. Sokolowski2.25111312113LSep 14 · 04:40G. Marud1.711111133O. Vincenec2.0084110LSep 14 · 03:55J. Nowak2.1111113113O. Vincenec1.60791161LSep 14 · 01:55M. Adamus1.8181111113O. Vincenec1.82119661LSep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.481314113O. Vincenec2.49111260WSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123WSep 13 · 22:40G. Marud1.78961191O. Vincenec1.9311118113LSep 13 · 21:55J. Nowak2.0011411153O. Vincenec1.707115131
M. Lebek10
WSep 16 · 22:50P. Adamus2.0013840M. Lebek1.701511113WSep 16 · 21:10O. Jadach1.654990M. Lebek2.031111113LSep 16 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz2.19111110113M. Lebek1.56941281WSep 16 · 07:35K. Kowalski4.755580M. Lebek1.141111113WSep 16 · 05:35P. Mecik2.559540M. Lebek1.421111113WSep 16 · 04:50S. Szostok1.7061161182M. Lebek1.95118117113LSep 16 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.8511811113M. Lebek1.33911991LSep 16 · 02:20P. Polok1.6112411153M. Lebek2.0910119131WSep 16 · 01:35K. Kowalski5.459111151M. Lebek1.0911138113WSep 15 · 23:35J. Orszulik1.908760M. Lebek1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
M. Lebek
Sep 17 · 01:35M. Lebek1.28O. Sokolowski3.15—Sep 17 · 02:20M. Lebek2.05J. Pruszkowski1.63—Sep 17 · 03:10M. Lebek1.63P. Adamus2.05—Sep 17 · 04:50M. Lebek2.03O. Jadach1.65—Sep 17 · 05:35M. Lebek1.52O. Vincenec2.25—Sep 17 · 07:35M. Lebek1.28O. Sokolowski3.15—Sep 17 · 08:20M. Lebek2.05J. Pruszkowski1.63—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.