TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134870
Played Sep 16Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.58
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61111131412411––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
61111131412411––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 2–1 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:36What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (59%)
Vincenec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1342 vs Sokolowski 1311
Vincenec
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 20% vs Sokolowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 20% vs Sokolowski 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -4 · Sokolowski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vincenec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.58 / Sokolowski 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vincenec)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13134870
Vincenec1.58
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 132 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it86% 60 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it74% 99 of 133
Sokolowski2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 72 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVincenec2wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderVincenec leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec2Sokolowski1n = 3Vincenec took 2 of 3
S2Vincenec0Sokolowski3n = 3Sokolowski took 3 of 3
S3Vincenec2Sokolowski1n = 3Vincenec took 2 of 3
S4Vincenec3Sokolowski0n = 3Vincenec took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVincenecSokolowskiV − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match44.745.3−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime664 / 1469 vs 123 / 36245.2%34%664 / 1469 vs 123 / 362Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecVincenec 1.58/Sokolowski 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 11 · 02:10O. Vincenec4011711113O. Sokolowski34911681
LJul 10 · 20:05O. Vincenec4511591192O. Sokolowski49711119113
WMar 7 · 08:10O. Vincenec49831115123O. Sokolowski531111813102
O. Vincenec10
LSep 16 · 22:25O. Jadach1.5091211113O. Vincenec2.401110731LSep 14 · 04:40G. Marud1.711111133O. Vincenec2.0084110LSep 14 · 03:55J. Nowak2.1111113113O. Vincenec1.60791161LSep 14 · 01:55M. Adamus1.8181111113O. Vincenec1.82119661LSep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.481314113O. Vincenec2.49111260WSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123WSep 13 · 22:40G. Marud1.78961191O. Vincenec1.9311118113LSep 13 · 21:55J. Nowak2.0011411153O. Vincenec1.707115131LSep 13 · 19:55M. Adamus1.8311811113O. Vincenec1.83411851LSep 13 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.059111311113O. Vincenec1.65116111392
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 13 · 17:05F. Witczak1.371211115113O. Sokolowski2.7514751182LSep 13 · 15:55O. Sokolowski2.1091171192P. Slosarczyk1.67119117113LSep 13 · 14:45R. Wojcik1.6511911113O. Sokolowski2.05511161WSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591WSep 13 · 11:05R. Wojcik1.6211411692O. Sokolowski2.08811511113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Sokolowski2.051113183P. Slosarczyk1.68911160LSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.709980LSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz1.351111113O. Sokolowski2.906580WSep 13 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.1911111281O. Sokolowski3.8513614113
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