TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123715
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Witczak
Home
1.37
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214117115511118
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1214117115511118
H2H Filip Witczak 3–0 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Witczak beat Sokolowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:11What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Witczak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Witczak
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witczak 1404 vs Sokolowski 1319
Witczak
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witczak 40% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witczak 50% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witczak +1 · Sokolowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Witczak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witczak form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitczak 1.37 / Sokolowski 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Witczak)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13123715
Witczak1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 64 of 86
Sokolowski2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 68 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back18% 25 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWitczak3wins
AwaySokolowski0wins
Witczak leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witczak2Sokolowski1n = 3Witczak took 2 of 3
S2Witczak3Sokolowski0n = 3Witczak took 3 of 3
S3Witczak3Sokolowski0n = 3Witczak took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWitczakSokolowskiW − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.326.3+10.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitczakSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 489 vs 123 / 36155.6%34.1%272 / 489 vs 123 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitczakWitczak 1.37/Sokolowski 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Witczak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Witczak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak331111113O. Sokolowski269980
WNov 1 · 16:05F. Witczak43101111113O. Sokolowski32124881
WNov 1 · 10:05F. Witczak331111113O. Sokolowski217770
F. Witczak10
WSep 13 · 15:30F. Witczak1.4212129113R. Wojcik2.5510101191LSep 13 · 14:20F. Witczak1.939111111112M. Oracz1.78111387133LSep 13 · 12:45F. Witczak2.2581181282K. Slawinski1.541191110113WSep 13 · 11:30F. Witczak1.381516113P. Slosarczyk2.65131450LSep 13 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.63911811163F. Witczak2.15116118142LSep 13 · 09:30R. Wojcik2.1011913113F. Witczak1.679111171WSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.709980LSep 13 · 07:10F. Witczak1.381112811112P. Slosarczyk2.65714117133WSep 13 · 06:20M. Oracz1.909690F. Witczak1.801111113WSep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.836540F. Witczak1.861111113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 13 · 15:55O. Sokolowski2.1091171192P. Slosarczyk1.67119117113LSep 13 · 14:45R. Wojcik1.6511911113O. Sokolowski2.05511161WSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591WSep 13 · 11:05R. Wojcik1.6211411692O. Sokolowski2.08811511113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Sokolowski2.051113183P. Slosarczyk1.68911160LSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.709980LSep 13 · 07:30M. Oracz1.351111113O. Sokolowski2.906580WSep 13 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.1911111281O. Sokolowski3.8513614113WSep 12 · 08:00O. Sokolowski1.9014511113P. Mecik1.801211951
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