TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123427
Played Sep 13Finished
Filip Witczak
Home
1.42
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101210911119––
Rafal Wojcik
Away
2.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:20 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Witczak to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
12101210911119––
H2H Filip Witczak 45–15 Rafal Wojcik Rafal Wojcik has won 15 of their 60 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wojcik beat Witczak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Witczak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-15 in 60
Witczak
Correct
gap of 30 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witczak 1394 vs Wojcik 1325
Witczak
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witczak 20% vs Wojcik 60%
Wojcik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witczak 40% vs Wojcik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witczak -2 · Wojcik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Witczak) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojcik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitczak 1.42 / Wojcik 2.55
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Witczak)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13123427
Witczak1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 64 of 86
Wojcik2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 39 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitczak8wins
AwayWojcik2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWitczak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitczak100%6 of 6
AwayWojcik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witczak6Wojcik4n = 10Witczak took 6 of 10
S2Witczak6Wojcik4n = 10Witczak took 6 of 10
S3Witczak6Wojcik4n = 10Witczak took 6 of 10
S4Witczak5Wojcik1n = 6Witczak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitczakWojcikWitczak − WojcikBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.331.5+6.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitczakWojcikBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 488 vs 198 / 47255.5%42%271 / 488 vs 198 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitczakWitczak 1.42/Wojcik 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.6%
Witczak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Witczak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 09:30F. Witczak389111171R. Wojcik4411913113
WAug 23 · 15:05F. Witczak3961111113R. Wojcik26113661
WAug 23 · 07:30F. Witczak331111113R. Wojcik229940
LAug 16 · 17:05F. Witczak2467110R. Wojcik351111133
WAug 16 · 08:45F. Witczak351111133R. Wojcik2449110
WJul 19 · 15:05F. Witczak331111113R. Wojcik248790
WJul 19 · 09:05F. Witczak48691111113R. Wojcik3911119532
WJul 18 · 15:05F. Witczak48118711113R. Wojcik4291111742
WJul 18 · 09:05F. Witczak45111211113R. Wojcik33714661
WJul 4 · 15:05F. Witczak4011117113R. Wojcik26381141
F. Witczak10
LSep 13 · 14:20F. Witczak1.939111111112M. Oracz1.78111387133LSep 13 · 12:45F. Witczak2.2581181282K. Slawinski1.541191110113WSep 13 · 11:30F. Witczak1.381516113P. Slosarczyk2.65131450LSep 13 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.63911811163F. Witczak2.15116118142LSep 13 · 09:30R. Wojcik2.1011913113F. Witczak1.679111171WSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.709980LSep 13 · 07:10F. Witczak1.381112811112P. Slosarczyk2.65714117133WSep 13 · 06:20M. Oracz1.909690F. Witczak1.801111113WSep 12 · 16:40J. Wieczerzak1.836540F. Witczak1.861111113LSep 12 · 15:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.71121911113F. Witczak2.001417971
R. Wojcik10
WSep 13 · 14:45R. Wojcik1.6511911113O. Sokolowski2.05511161WSep 13 · 13:10R. Wojcik1.8391112123P. Slosarczyk1.8311910101WSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz1.41911731R. Wojcik2.7011911113LSep 13 · 11:05R. Wojcik1.6211411692O. Sokolowski2.08811511113WSep 13 · 09:30R. Wojcik2.1011913113F. Witczak1.679111171LSep 13 · 08:20R. Wojcik2.3091040M. Oracz1.521112113WSep 13 · 06:45R. Wojcik3.20611411113K. Slawinski1.3011611662LSep 13 · 05:30R. Wojcik1.8011107201P. Slosarczyk1.9081211223WSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142LSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471
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