TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135807
Played Sep 16Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315811411––––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1315811411––––
H2H Pawel Adamus 9–7 Marian Lebek Marian Lebek has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:57What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1386 vs Lebek 1427
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Lebek 80%
Lebek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 30% vs Lebek 70%
Lebek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Lebek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.00 / Lebek 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lebek)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13135807
Adamus2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Lebek1.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 238 of 377
Up 2–0, closes it96% 160 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it82% 210 of 255
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayLebek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%3 of 3
AwayLebek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Adamus5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus4Lebek1n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
S5Adamus2Lebek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusLebekA − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.936.7−1.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 655 vs 844 / 145055.3%58.2%362 / 655 vs 844 / 1450Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekAdamus 2.00/Lebek 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 06:10P. Adamus4348111192M. Lebek47111177113
WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus331111113M. Lebek195680
WAug 26 · 21:10P. Adamus331111113M. Lebek236980
LAug 20 · 03:10P. Adamus4681151392M. Lebek531191111113
LJul 9 · 03:10P. Adamus126330M. Lebek331111113
LJun 11 · 06:45P. Adamus239950M. Lebek331111113
LFeb 10 · 18:10P. Adamus209380M. Lebek331111113
WAug 3 · 23:10P. Adamus50613128113M. Lebek451111101122
WAug 3 · 17:10P. Adamus49116813113M. Lebek46711111162
WAug 3 · 05:10P. Adamus4051311113M. Lebek351111671
P. Adamus10
LSep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski1.6211811113P. Adamus2.15711991WSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus1.6711511133J. Pruszkowski2.109118111LSep 16 · 01:00P. Adamus1.6791220G. Marud2.101114113LSep 15 · 23:45P. Adamus1.6111121110102K. Schaniel2.20414912123WSep 15 · 22:10P. Adamus1.671211113M. Koczyba2.1010890WSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650LSep 15 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.831111113P. Adamus1.836870LSep 15 · 18:55G. Marud2.1011711113P. Adamus1.67411891LSep 15 · 18:10P. Adamus1.80711661J. Pruszkowski1.9111911113LSep 15 · 16:35P. Adamus1.53117101172G. Jurowicz2.38611127113
M. Lebek10
LSep 16 · 23:35O. Vincenec2.2011118123M. Lebek1.577911101WSep 16 · 21:10O. Jadach1.654990M. Lebek2.031111113LSep 16 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz2.19111110113M. Lebek1.56941281WSep 16 · 07:35K. Kowalski4.755580M. Lebek1.141111113WSep 16 · 05:35P. Mecik2.559540M. Lebek1.421111113WSep 16 · 04:50S. Szostok1.7061161182M. Lebek1.95118117113LSep 16 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.8511811113M. Lebek1.33911991LSep 16 · 02:20P. Polok1.6112411153M. Lebek2.0910119131WSep 16 · 01:35K. Kowalski5.459111151M. Lebek1.0911138113WSep 15 · 23:35J. Orszulik1.908760M. Lebek1.801111113
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