Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141938

Starts Sep 17, 04:50 AMScheduled

Oskar Jadach

Home

1.65

At publish

Lost last 1

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

7 – 8

All 15 meetings · 46.7%

Last 10 · 5–5

Marian Lebek

Away

2.03

At publish

Won last 1

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 8h before this match

Lebek beat Jadach 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJadach 1.65 / Lebek 2.03

TT Elite Series · #13141938

Jadach1.65

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite68% won 326 of 480

Up 2–0, closes it94% 152 of 161

Up 1–0, closes it86% 229 of 267

Lebek2.03

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog49% won 88 of 180

Down 0–1, comes back27% 23 of 86

Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeJadach5wins

AwayLebek5wins

1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJadach60%3 of 5

AwayLebek60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Jadach5Lebek5n = 10split evenly

S2Jadach4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10

S3Jadach4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10

S4Jadach4Lebek3n = 7Jadach took 4 of 7

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricJadachLebekJ − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.834.2−2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJadachLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime797 / 1311 vs 844 / 145060.8%58.2%797 / 1311 vs 844 / 1450Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 16 · 21:10O. Jadach224990M. Lebek331111113

WAug 25 · 03:35O. Jadach331111113M. Lebek217680

LJul 19 · 11:25O. Jadach23311361M. Lebek4011711113

LJul 19 · 05:15O. Jadach21112261M. Lebek4291111113

WApr 1 · 24:25O. Jadach4581511113M. Lebek351113651

LDec 24 · 14:30O. Jadach196490M. Lebek331111113

WDec 24 · 08:30O. Jadach49791111113M. Lebek3911116562

LOct 27 · 24:30O. Jadach29123591M. Lebek43101111113

WOct 26 · 20:10O. Jadach3811115113M. Lebek29641181

WAug 14 · 03:35O. Jadach3911611113M. Lebek27711631

O. Jadach10

LSep 16 · 21:10O. Jadach1.654990M. Lebek2.031111113 WSep 15 · 04:20K. Schaniel2.35911931O. Jadach1.5411611113 WSep 15 · 03:30K. Adamus2.008480O. Jadach1.671111113 WSep 15 · 02:10O. Jadach1.801210311113S. Szostok1.80101211452 WSep 15 · 24:50O. Jadach1.5712211113G. Marud2.161011701 LSep 15 · 24:10I. Szymanski4.60613914113O. Jadach1.131111111272 LSep 14 · 23:05O. Jadach1.81111211562S. Szostok1.83914611113 LSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163 WSep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.151111113I. Szymanski4.407620 WSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110

M. Lebek10

WSep 16 · 21:10O. Jadach1.654990M. Lebek2.031111113 LSep 16 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz2.19111110113M. Lebek1.56941281 WSep 16 · 07:35K. Kowalski4.755580M. Lebek1.141111113 WSep 16 · 05:35P. Mecik2.559540M. Lebek1.421111113 WSep 16 · 04:50S. Szostok1.7061161182M. Lebek1.95118117113 LSep 16 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.8511811113M. Lebek1.33911991 LSep 16 · 02:20P. Polok1.6112411153M. Lebek2.0910119131 WSep 16 · 01:35K. Kowalski5.459111151M. Lebek1.0911138113 WSep 15 · 23:35J. Orszulik1.908760M. Lebek1.801111113 WSep 15 · 22:50M. Tkocz1.746680M. Lebek1.951111113

Upcoming Matches

O. Jadach

Sep 16 · 22:25O. Jadach1.43O. Vincenec2.48—Sep 17 · 24:00O. Jadach1.86J. Pruszkowski1.80—Sep 17 · 01:10O. Jadach1.54P. Adamus2.25—Sep 17 · 02:45O. Jadach1.23O. Sokolowski3.50—Sep 17 · 04:00O. Jadach1.81J. Pruszkowski1.83—

M. Lebek

Sep 16 · 22:50M. Lebek1.63P. Adamus2.05—Sep 16 · 23:35M. Lebek1.54O. Vincenec2.25—Sep 17 · 01:35M. Lebek1.28O. Sokolowski3.15—Sep 17 · 02:20M. Lebek2.05J. Pruszkowski1.63—Sep 17 · 03:10M. Lebek1.63P. Adamus2.05—Sep 17 · 05:35M. Lebek1.52O. Vincenec2.25—

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