TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143775
Played Sep 17Finished
Oskar Sokolowski
Home
3.15
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111161210911113
Marian Lebek
Away
1.28
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:46 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
7111161210911113
H2H Oskar Sokolowski 3–4 Marian Lebek Oskar Sokolowski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (71%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1288 vs Lebek 1441
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 0% vs Lebek 80%
Lebek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 10% vs Lebek 70%
Lebek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -5 · Lebek +2
Sokolowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 3.15 / Lebek 1.28
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Lebek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13143775
Sokolowski3.15
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 73 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back17% 26 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 87
Lebek1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 242 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it97% 164 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it83% 214 of 259
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSokolowski3wins
AwayLebek4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderLebek leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLebek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski1Lebek6n = 7Lebek took 6 of 7
S2Sokolowski3Lebek4n = 7Lebek took 4 of 7
S3Sokolowski5Lebek2n = 7Sokolowski took 5 of 7
S4Sokolowski2Lebek5n = 7Lebek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSokolowskiLebekS − LBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match38.442.3−3.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 371 vs 849 / 145933.7%58.2%125 / 371 vs 849 / 1459Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekSokolowski 3.15/Lebek 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.3%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 17 · 07:35O. Sokolowski50711129113M. Lebek41116101132
LSep 17 · 01:35O. Sokolowski345121161M. Lebek4411148113
WAug 27 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3961111113M. Lebek35118881
LAug 27 · 01:35O. Sokolowski26911331M. Lebek4011711113
LJul 5 · 13:10O. Sokolowski36881371M. Lebek44111111113
LJul 5 · 11:23O. Sokolowski36881371M. Lebek44111111113
WJul 5 · 05:15O. Sokolowski48136711113M. Lebek48111111962
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 17 · 06:25O. Jadach1.2811611113O. Sokolowski3.40711681LSep 17 · 05:10J. Pruszkowski1.22111111113O. Sokolowski3.60137971LSep 17 · 03:35O. Vincenec1.551211811113O. Sokolowski2.3014511982LSep 17 · 02:45O. Jadach1.231111123O. Sokolowski3.5086100LSep 17 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.955121161M. Lebek1.3511148113LSep 17 · 24:25P. Adamus1.3911119113O. Sokolowski2.65851171LSep 16 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski1.221111113O. Sokolowski3.606660WSep 16 · 21:35O. Vincenec1.586111441O. Sokolowski2.25111312113LSep 13 · 17:05F. Witczak1.371211115113O. Sokolowski2.7514751182LSep 13 · 15:55O. Sokolowski2.1091171192P. Slosarczyk1.67119117113
M. Lebek10
LSep 17 · 08:20J. Pruszkowski1.8361211113M. Lebek1.831110861WSep 17 · 05:35O. Vincenec2.255690M. Lebek1.521111113WSep 17 · 04:50O. Jadach1.756470M. Lebek1.901111113LSep 17 · 03:10P. Adamus1.80111278113M. Lebek1.90810111172WSep 17 · 02:20J. Pruszkowski1.635111071M. Lebek2.0511912113WSep 17 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.955121161M. Lebek1.3511148113LSep 16 · 23:35O. Vincenec2.2011118123M. Lebek1.577911101WSep 16 · 22:50P. Adamus2.0013840M. Lebek1.701511113WSep 16 · 21:10O. Jadach1.654990M. Lebek2.031111113LSep 16 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz2.19111110113M. Lebek1.56941281
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