TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135806
Played Sep 17Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.39
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115911117––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 74.0% is still 74.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
74.0%
74.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
118115911117––
H2H Pawel Adamus 8–1 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (66%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Adamus
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1374 vs Sokolowski 1317
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 20% vs Sokolowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 30% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.39 / Sokolowski 2.65
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Adamus)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13135806
Adamus1.39
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 197 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it99% 95 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it78% 148 of 189
Sokolowski2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 72 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeAdamus8wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
5 of 9 to a deciderAdamus leads 8–1, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%7 of 7
AwaySokolowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Sokolowski2n = 9Adamus took 7 of 9
S2Adamus6Sokolowski3n = 9Adamus took 6 of 9
S3Adamus4Sokolowski5n = 9Sokolowski took 5 of 9
S4Adamus5Sokolowski3n = 8Adamus took 5 of 8
S5Adamus4Sokolowski1n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricAdamusSokolowskiA − SBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match45.640.2+5.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 656 vs 124 / 36455.2%34.1%362 / 656 vs 124 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.39/Sokolowski 2.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 27 · 02:45P. Adamus52111198133O. Sokolowski44651111112
WAug 2 · 15:30P. Adamus4112711113O. Sokolowski351011591
WAug 2 · 09:30P. Adamus50811911113O. Sokolowski3911611832
LJul 10 · 21:45P. Adamus47711811102O. Sokolowski50119117123
WJul 10 · 17:45P. Adamus4611914123O. Sokolowski3851112101
WJun 30 · 12:15P. Adamus51131169123O. Sokolowski501171111102
WJun 30 · 08:35P. Adamus341112113O. Sokolowski2351080
WJun 25 · 09:00P. Adamus46118115113O. Sokolowski4451191182
WJun 25 · 04:30P. Adamus4311138113O. Sokolowski399111181
P. Adamus10
WSep 17 · 02:00O. Vincenec2.006690P. Adamus1.671111113WSep 17 · 01:10O. Jadach1.60491171P. Adamus2.1011111113LSep 16 · 22:50P. Adamus2.0013840M. Lebek1.701511113LSep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski1.6211811113P. Adamus2.15711991WSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus1.6711511133J. Pruszkowski2.109118111LSep 16 · 01:00P. Adamus1.6791220G. Marud2.101114113LSep 15 · 23:45P. Adamus1.6111121110102K. Schaniel2.20414912123WSep 15 · 22:10P. Adamus1.671211113M. Koczyba2.1010890WSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650LSep 15 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.831111113P. Adamus1.836870
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 16 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski1.221111113O. Sokolowski3.606660WSep 16 · 21:35O. Vincenec1.586111441O. Sokolowski2.25111312113LSep 13 · 17:05F. Witczak1.371211115113O. Sokolowski2.7514751182LSep 13 · 15:55O. Sokolowski2.1091171192P. Slosarczyk1.67119117113LSep 13 · 14:45R. Wojcik1.6511911113O. Sokolowski2.05511161WSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591WSep 13 · 11:05R. Wojcik1.6211411692O. Sokolowski2.08811511113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Sokolowski2.051113183P. Slosarczyk1.68911160LSep 13 · 08:45F. Witczak1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.709980
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
O. Sokolowski
Sep 17 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.95M. Lebek1.35—Sep 17 · 02:45O. Sokolowski3.50O. Jadach1.23—Sep 17 · 03:35O. Sokolowski2.41O. Vincenec1.46—Sep 17 · 05:10O. Sokolowski3.60J. Pruszkowski1.22—Sep 17 · 06:25O. Sokolowski3.55O. Jadach1.22—Sep 17 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.15M. Lebek1.28—Sep 17 · 08:45O. Sokolowski2.65P. Adamus1.38—
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