TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135804
Played Sep 17Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611911––––
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
611611911––––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 6–8 Pawel Adamus Oliver Vincenec has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (54%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Adamus
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1332 vs Adamus 1400
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 20% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 30% vs Adamus 50%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -1 · Adamus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 2.00 / Adamus 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Adamus)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13135804
Vincenec2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 183 of 455
Down 0–1, comes back23% 63 of 272
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 136
Adamus1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 197 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it99% 95 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it78% 148 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec5wins
AwayAdamus5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec60%3 of 5
AwayAdamus60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S2Vincenec6Adamus4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S4Vincenec4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S5Vincenec3Adamus1n = 4Vincenec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecAdamusV − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.442.9−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime665 / 1464 vs 364 / 65845.4%55.3%665 / 1464 vs 364 / 658Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusVincenec 2.00/Adamus 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 08:45O. Vincenec31651281P. Adamus43111110113
WJul 20 · 11:00O. Vincenec4111512133P. Adamus3531110111
LJul 20 · 04:55O. Vincenec43411711102P. Adamus45117114123
WJul 10 · 22:35O. Vincenec48151147113P. Adamus50138111172
WJul 10 · 15:00O. Vincenec45111138123P. Adamus43831111102
WJul 9 · 06:00O. Vincenec49911711113P. Adamus4411911762
LJul 7 · 08:20O. Vincenec36127891P. Adamus43101111113
LJun 29 · 12:20O. Vincenec341158101P. Adamus4391111123
WJun 29 · 08:20O. Vincenec4461116113P. Adamus411181481
LMay 31 · 22:25O. Vincenec33611791P. Adamus4211911113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 17 · 24:45O. Vincenec2.60981161J. Pruszkowski1.4111115113WSep 16 · 23:35O. Vincenec2.2011118123M. Lebek1.577911101LSep 16 · 22:25O. Jadach1.5091211113O. Vincenec2.401110731LSep 16 · 21:35O. Vincenec1.586111441O. Sokolowski2.25111312113LSep 14 · 04:40G. Marud1.711111133O. Vincenec2.0084110LSep 14 · 03:55J. Nowak2.1111113113O. Vincenec1.60791161LSep 14 · 01:55M. Adamus1.8181111113O. Vincenec1.82119661LSep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.481314113O. Vincenec2.49111260WSep 13 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.1068100O. Vincenec1.651111123WSep 13 · 22:40G. Marud1.78961191O. Vincenec1.9311118113
P. Adamus10
WSep 17 · 01:10O. Jadach1.60491171P. Adamus2.1011111113WSep 17 · 24:25P. Adamus1.3911119113O. Sokolowski2.65851171LSep 16 · 22:50P. Adamus2.0013840M. Lebek1.701511113LSep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski1.6211811113P. Adamus2.15711991WSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus1.6711511133J. Pruszkowski2.109118111LSep 16 · 01:00P. Adamus1.6791220G. Marud2.101114113LSep 15 · 23:45P. Adamus1.6111121110102K. Schaniel2.20414912123WSep 15 · 22:10P. Adamus1.671211113M. Koczyba2.1010890WSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650LSep 15 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.831111113P. Adamus1.836870
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