TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141378
Played Sep 17Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214115811119118
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:41 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
1214115811119118
H2H Oliver Vincenec 2–2 Oskar Sokolowski Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sokolowski beat Vincenec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:41What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Vincenec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1320 vs Sokolowski 1292
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 20% vs Sokolowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 20% vs Sokolowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -2 · Sokolowski -4
Sokolowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vincenec) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.55 / Sokolowski 2.30
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vincenec)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13141378
Vincenec1.55
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 132 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it86% 60 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it74% 99 of 133
Sokolowski2.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 72 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVincenec2wins
AwaySokolowski2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec2Sokolowski2n = 4split evenly
S2Vincenec0Sokolowski4n = 4Sokolowski took 4 of 4
S3Vincenec3Sokolowski1n = 4Vincenec took 3 of 4
S4Vincenec3Sokolowski1n = 4Vincenec took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVincenecSokolowskiV − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.245.8−3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime665 / 1464 vs 124 / 36745.4%33.8%665 / 1464 vs 124 / 367Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecVincenec 1.55/Sokolowski 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 16 · 21:35O. Vincenec356111441O. Sokolowski47111312113
WJul 11 · 02:10O. Vincenec4011711113O. Sokolowski34911681
LJul 10 · 20:05O. Vincenec4511591192O. Sokolowski49711119113
WMar 7 · 08:10O. Vincenec49831115123O. Sokolowski531111813102
O. Vincenec10
WSep 17 · 04:25P. Adamus1.70118119102O. Vincenec1.95711511123LSep 17 · 02:00O. Vincenec2.006690P. Adamus1.671111113LSep 17 · 24:45O. Vincenec2.60981161J. Pruszkowski1.4111115113WSep 16 · 23:35O. Vincenec2.2011118123M. Lebek1.577911101LSep 16 · 22:25O. Jadach1.5091211113O. Vincenec2.401110731LSep 16 · 21:35O. Vincenec1.586111441O. Sokolowski2.25111312113LSep 14 · 04:40G. Marud1.711111133O. Vincenec2.0084110LSep 14 · 03:55J. Nowak2.1111113113O. Vincenec1.60791161LSep 14 · 01:55M. Adamus1.8181111113O. Vincenec1.82119661LSep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.481314113O. Vincenec2.49111260
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 17 · 02:45O. Jadach1.231111123O. Sokolowski3.5086100LSep 17 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.955121161M. Lebek1.3511148113LSep 17 · 24:25P. Adamus1.3911119113O. Sokolowski2.65851171LSep 16 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski1.221111113O. Sokolowski3.606660WSep 16 · 21:35O. Vincenec1.586111441O. Sokolowski2.25111312113LSep 13 · 17:05F. Witczak1.371211115113O. Sokolowski2.7514751182LSep 13 · 15:55O. Sokolowski2.1091171192P. Slosarczyk1.67119117113LSep 13 · 14:45R. Wojcik1.6511911113O. Sokolowski2.05511161WSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591
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