TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143766
Played Sep 17Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111210118116––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
6111210118116––
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 19–23 Marian Lebek Jakub Pruszkowski has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-23 in 42
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1481 vs Lebek 1453
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 40% vs Lebek 60%
Lebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 50% vs Lebek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +1 · Lebek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.83 / Lebek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13143766
Pruszkowski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Lebek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski5wins
AwayLebek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski100%5 of 5
AwayLebek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S2Pruszkowski5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pruszkowski4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Pruszkowski4Lebek1n = 5Pruszkowski took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiLebekP − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.735.4−1.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime1131 / 1787 vs 849 / 145863.3%58.2%1131 / 1787 vs 849 / 1458Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.83/Lebek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski206860M. Lebek331111113
WAug 7 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski351113113M. Lebek2361160
LAug 5 · 22:50J. Pruszkowski35712881M. Lebek43111011113
WJul 31 · 05:50J. Pruszkowski381311143M. Lebek27114120
LJul 30 · 22:25J. Pruszkowski209650M. Lebek331111113
WJul 29 · 22:50J. Pruszkowski4315116113M. Lebek401381181
LJul 28 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski4679121172M. Lebek511111108113
LJul 24 · 05:35J. Pruszkowski175840M. Lebek331111113
WJul 23 · 23:35J. Pruszkowski4111811113M. Lebek32611691
WJul 10 · 04:00J. Pruszkowski4212136113M. Lebek3910111171
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 17 · 06:45O. Vincenec2.655118101J. Pruszkowski1.3911711123LSep 17 · 06:00P. Adamus2.2011119113J. Pruszkowski1.60761181WSep 17 · 05:10J. Pruszkowski1.22111111113O. Sokolowski3.60137971LSep 17 · 04:00J. Pruszkowski1.835990O. Jadach1.811111113LSep 17 · 02:20J. Pruszkowski1.635111071M. Lebek2.0511912113WSep 17 · 24:45O. Vincenec2.60981161J. Pruszkowski1.4111115113LSep 17 · 24:00O. Jadach1.86117115113J. Pruszkowski1.8081161192WSep 16 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski1.221111113O. Sokolowski3.606660WSep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski1.6211811113P. Adamus2.15711991LSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus1.6711511133J. Pruszkowski2.109118111
M. Lebek10
LSep 17 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.15711129113M. Lebek1.28116101132WSep 17 · 05:35O. Vincenec2.255690M. Lebek1.521111113WSep 17 · 04:50O. Jadach1.756470M. Lebek1.901111113LSep 17 · 03:10P. Adamus1.80111278113M. Lebek1.90810111172WSep 17 · 02:20J. Pruszkowski1.635111071M. Lebek2.0511912113WSep 17 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.955121161M. Lebek1.3511148113LSep 16 · 23:35O. Vincenec2.2011118123M. Lebek1.577911101WSep 16 · 22:50P. Adamus2.0013840M. Lebek1.701511113WSep 16 · 21:10O. Jadach1.654990M. Lebek2.031111113LSep 16 · 08:20M. Paszkiewicz2.19111110113M. Lebek1.56941281
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